There is no quick fix to our parlous relationship with China
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
Thursday 28 May 2020 | 01:48 | SYDNEY
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China and Australia's relationship is souring but not weakening
COVID-19 and politics are driving them apart but trade keeps them together. Originally published in Nikkei Asian Review.
Push India towards the Quad to deter China
A four-country bulwark against Beijing's regional dominance is an idea whose time has come. To make it work, New Delhi must be convinced to join in. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
By Lavina Lee
Global consensus can sway China
Events this week show that, amid the most protracted great power stand-off since the Cold War, middle powers can forge global consensus. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
Investors will lose as Beijing squeezes Hong Kong
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
By Ben Bland
Why Beijing feels compelled to destroy Hong Kong’s freedom
Originally published in the Sydney Morning Herald.
By Ben Bland
Assessing the Quad: Prospects and limitations of quadrilateral cooperation for advancing Australia’s interests
There is growing agreement between Australia, India, Japan and the United States that as China rises in Asia, the rules-based order needs strengthening and defending; but does the revived Security Quadrilateral Dialogue have any real prospect of rebalancing relationships in the region
By Lavina Lee
Hong Kong's new 'Basic Law' is that whatever China says, goes
Judges alone cannot protect territory from Beijing's heavy-handed interventions. Originally published in Nikkei Asian Review
By Ben Bland
Globalisation's still not a bad thing
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
COVIDpoll: Lowy Institute Polling on Australian Attitudes to the Coronavirus Pandemic
The Lowy Institute COVIDpoll finds that almost all Australians say Australia has handled COVID-19 well, but most are disappointed by China and the United States’ response
Mobilizing the Indo-Pacific infrastructure response to China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Southeast Asia
A policy brief by Roland Rajah, Director of the International Economy Program at the Lowy Institute, published by The Brookings Institution
By Roland Rajah
COVID-19 and America's counter-terrorism response
Originally published in War on the Rocks
By Lydia Khalil
Helping Indonesia to help ourselves
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
West Papua: The Issue That Won't Go Away for Melanesia
West Papuans continue to fight for independence with the support of many Pacific nations. Despite Indonesia’s opposition and the recent impact of COVID-19 on the region, the resolution of West Papuan grievances may have stalled but nationalist sentiment has not been quelled.
In a testy post-Covid-19 world, Chinese sanctions of Australian goods may be closer than ever
Originally published in The Guardian
How Is the Coronavirus Outbreak Affecting China’s Relations with Its Asian Neighbors?
Originally published in ChinaFile and Foreign Policy
Coronavirus has shown Australian travellers have too high expectations of how the Government can help
In an opinion piece originally published on ABC News website, Alex Oliver describes the high expectations Australian travellers have of the consular assistance government can provide in a crisis. The original article can be accessed here
By Alex Oliver
Beware letting inexact science of modelling drive policy
Originally published in The Australian
Helicopter money is not what you think
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
China's coronavirus aid to Pacific islands is part of geopolitical game
Beijing is using health care to improve relations in strategically significant area. Originally published in the Nikkei Asian Review.
Why Xi will shelter behind the great wall of secrecy
Beijing will oppose an international investigation into the pandemic because accountability would put the one-party system in the dock. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
Washington could win hearts and minds in Iran
Originally published in The Australian
How to win the war: some valuable lessons from history
Comparison with wartime sacrifices might put the necessary inconveniences into perspective. Nonresident Fellow Stephen Grenville writes on COVID-19. Originally published in The Australian
Helicopter money’s unearned popularity
Originally published in the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum
Coronavirus: Global giants stumble while agile nations inspire
Lowy Institute Executive Director Michael Fullilove writes on the ways COVID-19 will alter some of the patterns of international life. Originally published in The Australian
How the virus could stagger Asia's giants
COVID-19 looks set to hit the emerging world hard. For Australia, what happens in India and Indonesia could be most consequential. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
By Roland Rajah
The balance between medicine and economics
Lowy Institute Nonresident Fellow Stephen Grenville asks if the policy response to Covid-19 strikes the right balance in the debate between epidemiologists and economists, moderated by the public-relations experts. Originally published in The Australian
The government's bazooka is biggest, not the RBA's
Lowy Institute Nonresident Fellow Stephen Grenville evaluates the RBA's response to COVID-19. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
China is rewriting coronavirus history and nobody will stop it
In an opinion piece published in the Nikkei Asian Review, Natasha Kassam argues that China has leapt on the opportunity to shape the global narrative about its response to the coronavirus as other countries grapple to manage the crisis
West must face its viral demons
It may be the global politics of the pandemic, rather than COVID-19 itself, that proves our undoing.
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
Vital to focus on fiscal policy as recession inevitable
It goes without saying that the medical response to the pandemic should have the highest policy priority ... On the economics of the pandemic, initial reactions have been quickly outdated. Originally published in The Australian
The RBA's job is to back banks, not bail out gamblers
It’s quite a while since I was at the Reserve Bank, but one of my tasks there was to draft replies to letters received. So let me try my hand at responding to Christopher Joye’s "Virus gets upper hand in battle against central banks" (AFR, March 13). Originally published in the Australian
Avoiding the wrong lessons on aid and corruption
Is development aid an effective solution to lifting countries out of poverty? Roland Rajah, Director of the International Economy Program, and Research Fellow Alexandre Dayant write on aid and corruption. Originally published in the Devpolicy Blog
Central bank reputations at risk from impossible targets
Central banks around the world are caught in the same bind: inflation is below their target. Originally published in The Australian
Paranoid leaders hoping repression can lead to stability
This is an edited extract from the Lowy Institute Analysis ‘The Path of Least Resilience: Autocratic Rule and External Powers In The Middle East’ by Anthony Bubalo. The extract first appeared in The Australian
The Path of Least Resilience: Autocratic Rule and External Powers in the Middle East
The examples of Egypt and Saudi Arabia show the risks in betting on the stability of autocratic regimes in the region.
An address by Admiral Philip S. Davidson on the United States' Interests in the Indo-Pacific
On 13 February the 25th Commander of the United States Indo-Pacific Command, Admiral Philip S. Davidson, delivered an address on the United States' interests in the Indo-Pacific at the Lowy Institute
Middle Powers Will Determine the Future of the Asian Order
In Asia, power is shifting. The changing balance of power is setting the stage for prolonged great power competition. As the US-led rules-based order decays, the question is what regional order – if any – will replace it
What are the Right Encryption Laws for Australia?
On March 5, 2020, Lowy Institute Research Fellow Dr Rodger Shanahan was joined in conversation with Dr James Renwick SC to discuss possible models for reconciling the legitimate interests of individuals, organisations, and business, and intelligence, police and integrity agencies
Submission to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade Review of Australia's Development Program
A submission to the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade Review of Australian's Development Program
2019 Australia-Papua New Guinea Emerging Leaders Dialogue Outcomes Report
The Lowy Institute hosted the seventh Australia–Papua New Guinea Emerging Leaders Dialogue on 5 and 6 November 2019 in Wewak, Papua New Guinea
The coronavirus outbreak has exposed the deep flaws of Xi’s autocracy
China’s political system was meant to be all-powerful, capable of dealing with any crisis. The death of one doctor has shaken that claim. Originally published in The Guardian.
Taiwan Flashpoint: What Australia Can Do to Stop the Coming Taiwan Crisis
Australian diplomacy could ease rising tensions across the Taiwan Strait, if Australian policymakers rediscovered an appetite for involvement in the flashpoint
China’s Economic Choices
China’s economic growth has fallen to its slowest rate since 1990, and this deceleration looks set to continue unless China implements the kinds of deep reforms behind the successful economic transitions of Japan and Korea
Politics comes first in China's agony
In an opinion piece originally published in the Financial Review, Natasha Kassam argues that China's biggest concern in dealing with the new coronavirus is maintaining stability and keeping its grip on information
The New Wave of Middle-East Media Repression
In an opinion piece published in Project Syndicate, Lydia Khalil describes how the governments of Egypt and Saudi Arabia have suppressed unfavorable information to hold on to power. But the experiences of Iraq and Lebanon suggest that this approach has limits in political systems that depend on
By Lydia Khalil
How I Lost My Faith in America
The world still wants to believe in the US. But it needs some help.
Originally published in The Atlantic
How the coronavirus crisis has brewed a ‘revolt of the professionals’ in China
Doctors, scientists, lawyers and journalists are pushing back against Communist Party structures in a rare backlash against suppression of information.
If Beijing can learn to leave them to do their jobs, that would be real reform, akin to a mini-revolution.
Originally published in South China
How Beijing's silence helped spread the virus
Beijing's blaming of local officials and signs on a clampdown on information about the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak has tragic echoes of the mishandling of the SARs virus more than a decade ago, writes Richard McGregor. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
Soft power goes up in smoke
A unique connection to nature is at the heart of our international appeal. Foot-dragging on climate is squandering it.
Originally published in the Australian Financial Review
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