Middle East Conflict
Iran-Israel: The escalation calculus
Events in the Middle East over the weekend have brought the longstanding Israel-Iran shadow war into the spotlight, compounding fears that the Gaza conflict will spill over into a…
Reports the two-state solution is dead are greatly exaggerated
Lowy Institute Board Member and former US ambassador to Israel Martin Indyk has an article in Foreign Affairs, published by the Council for Foreign Relations, arguing the…
Israel-Hamas: A globalised conflict
The atrocities perpetrated by Hamas on 7 October 2023 and the war in Gaza that followed caught much of the world off guard. Most governments appeared surprised both by the…
Gaza: The domestic politics of a regional war
Each passing week of the Gaza conflict brings more reports of provocation by Iranian proxies and stronger responses from the United States, its partners and allies. Yet neither…
Non-state actors and the phantom of asymmetry
The sunny days of free-riding are receding. In some form or another, most countries have leeched off American power for the last three decades. The preponderance of US military…
An Iranian trap in Yemen
The death of three US soldiers in a drone attack conducted by Iran-backed Islamic Resistance in Iraq on Tower 22, a US military base in Jordan adjacent to the Iraq-Syria-Jordan…
Hamas's position is stronger than many think
Hamas has demonstrated surprising resilience and capability since its founding in 1987. It would be a mistake to assume that its 7 October attacks on Israel were a “catastrophic…
The war in Gaza has not destroyed normalisation … for now
Arab governments who have diplomatic relations with Israel, such as Egypt and Jordan, are under increasing pressure from their populations to sever ties amid a growing outcry over…
1947 and now
A Moscow leader aggressively expanding. Conflict between Jews and Palestinians. An unpopular Democratic president in the United States suffering a polling slump one year before…
Israel-Palestine: It’s not too late for the two-state solution
It is still unclear if, and to what extent, Israel will manage to remove Hamas from power in Gaza. But already a debate has opened up about what will replace it. Israel’s Prime…