Saturday 11 Jul 2020 | 22:13 | SYDNEY
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People | experts Rory Medcalf
Nonresident Fellow
Lowy Institute
Rory Medcalf's picture
Areas of ExpertiseAsia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific strategic order; India and the Indian Ocean; maritime security; nuclear arms control

Rebalancing Australia's role in Asia

In this article in The Wall Street Journal Asia Edition, Rory Medcalf argues the need for Australia's new Coalition government to bring steadiness to matters of security and diplomacy, which will be particularly critical in a changing Indo-Pacific Asia

Mike Kelly gets his history backward

It sounds as if neither party landed a knockout blow at the debate held in Canberra yesterday between Shadow Defence Minister Senator David Johnston and Minister for Defence Materiel Mike Kelly. The hosts, the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, had the peculiar challenge of presenting an

Syria strikes: The Asian dimension

Sam Roggeveen is right to suggest that 'credibility' will be a major factor for President Obama in his decision to mount military strikes against Syria in response to the use of chemical weapons. Sam is also right to suggest that such action will not mean that crisis in the Middle East has trumped

South China Sea: Trust vs confidence-building

Australians may be preoccupied with election politics, but the big strategic problems of their Indo-Pacific Asian region have hardly gone away. It was therefore refreshing to see Foreign Minister Bob Carr this week speaking at a conference on the security challenges in the South China Sea, with nary

In 100 words: The most important issue of this campaign

Short posts from Lowy Institute experts on what they regard as the most important international policy issue of this campaign. See the Election Interpreter 2013 archive for the whole series. Australia needs to get ready for the risks as well as the opportunities of an Asian Century: that should be

Australia's South China Sea chance

All those countries (including Australia) that so solemnly call for a 'rules-based order' in Indo-Pacific Asia have a chance today to show they mean it. At a major gathering in Brunei, the annual ASEAN Regional Forum, Australian Foreign Minister Bob Carr and his counterparts have an opportunity to

Is China 'reciprocating' US maritime surveillance?

The best stories from the Shangri-la Dialogue, Asia's leading informal defence gathering, do not come from the public utterances of high-profile figures like Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel. Indeed, the most extraordinary thing I heard at the first full day of this year's dialogue here in Singapore

India Poll 2013

The India Poll 2013 is one of the most comprehensive surveys ever conducted on the attitudes of Indian citizens towards their future in the world. Photo: Flickr user NatCau2016

Australia, America's too-frugal ally

In this opinion article in the Wall Street Journal (Asia), International Security Program Director Rory Medcalf and Military Fellow James Brown argue that the 2013 Australian defence white paper needs a budget to back it up, otherwise Australia risks losing the capability edge it would need to help

Sweet and sour in defence take on China

In an opinion piece in The Australian Financial Review, Rory Medcalf, Director of the International Security Program, writes that the 2013 Australian Defence White Paper takes a more balanced and defensive approach towards China than its diplomatic packaging would suggest

India-Australia Poll 2013

The India-Australia Poll is a groundbreaking survey of Indian public attitudes towards Australia, with some surprising results. It reveals broadly positive views towards Australia, but lingering concerns about student safety. Key issues covered in the poll include: Indian perceptions of

Further DPRK tests a show of weakness

If North Korea soon tests another missile or even, as some reports suggest, a fourth nuclear device, it will be a sign of regime weakness and clumsiness, not strength and cunning. Pyongyang may be able to stage the ultimate festivals of synchronised human movement, but under Kim Jong-un it is losing

Korean War II? Maybe, but not likely

Are we headed for a new Korean War? Not just skirmishes, sabre-rattling or a torpedo in the night, but a full-blown armed conflict on the Korean Peninsula? You would be forgiven for thinking so if you've followed the drumbeat of headlines since the 13 February nuclear test or even last December's

Tweets and tanks

In this opinion piece in American Review magazine, Rory Medcalf explores the effect that social media has had on interstate tensions in Indo-Pacific Asia and beyond

Asian century is marked by rising conflict

In an opinion piece in The Australian, Rory Medcalf argues that the Asian Century is increasingly being marked by inter-state tensions and strategic mistrust. This reality runs counter to the government’s perceptions of the Asian Century as outlined in its 2012 White Paper, and as a result, it

China-DPRK: Different this time?

The regime in Pyongyang has tested a third nuclear device and the depressing diplomatic ritual has begun again. The liturgy is familiar: the threat, the ineffective warnings, the big event, the brief uncertainty about what happened, the regime's confirmatory boast, the international outrage, the

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