Sam Roggeveen's Bio | People

People | experts Sam Roggeveen

Director, International Security Program

Lowy Institute

Areas of ExpertiseChina’s military forces, US defence and foreign policy, Australian foreign and defence policy, drones and other military technology, blogs and online media.

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Australia keeps calm while China carries on

In the face of sustained coercion, Canberra has rejected the urge to seek economic revenge against Beijing.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Something is broken in the way we are conducting Australian politics

Originally published in The Mandarin

By Sam Roggeveen

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How far would Australia go in defence of the rules-based order?

The way the defence force is structured and the weapons deployed sends a message beyond the words.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Democracy vs autocracy: Biden’s “inflection point”

If this really is a new Cold War, it’s off to a slow start.

By Sam Roggeveen

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What does America think the rules-based order is for?

The US is in a defensive crouch rather than in an expansionary mood. But bring on debate.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Book review: The Ministry for the Future

Putting the fate of the world in the hands of boring bureaucrats might not seem compelling – might just also be right.

By Sam Roggeveen

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There are reasons to feel OK about 2020, but a long-forgotten worry got worse

Originally published in The Sydney Morning Herald

By Sam Roggeveen

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COVIDcast: 2020 Asia Power Index

In this episode of COVIDcast, Sam Roggeveen, Director of the Lowy Institute’s International Security Program, sits down with the two leading researchers behind the Lowy Institute’s 2020 Asia Power Index

By Sam Roggeveen

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Why Australia Should Respond to China’s Provocations With Self-Reliance

Originally published in World Politics Review

By Sam Roggeveen

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China: Explaining that tweet

Four possible reasons behind a Chinese official’s social media missive.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Trump or Biden, Australia is alone

America protected Europe through the Cold War with a credible nuclear deterrent. Indo-Pacific nations can expect no such pledge. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review

By Sam Roggeveen

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Australia's Security and the Rules-Based Order: Tracking a Decade of Policy Evolution

In this feature, we identify ten recurring propositions about the rules-based order and show it's evolution through national debate and government policy. Explore how the rules-based order has developed over time and in meaning with experts offering inside commentary along the way

By Ben Scott, Madeleine Nyst, Sam Roggeveen

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North Korea’s new missile

If – big if – this missile is real, America cannot guarantee its homeland security in a war with North Korea.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Why the American public has tuned out of politics

The American political class are fighting their private culture wars that have sidelined the concerns that ordinary citizens have. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review

By Sam Roggeveen

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Submission to the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Inquiry into the Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic for Australia's Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade

Joint submission by Lowy Institute researchers to the JSCFADT inquiry into the implications of the pandemic.

By Ben Bland, Alexandre Dayant, John Edwards, Michael Fullilove, Bonnie S Glaser, Stephen Grenville, Natasha Kassam, Lydia Khalil, Hervé Lemahieu , Richard McGregor, Shane McLeod, Annmaree O’Keeffe, Alex Oliver, Jonathan Pryke, Roland Rajah, Sam Roggeveen, Ben Scott

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Regional security depends on making order from chaos

Originally published in The Australian

By Sam Roggeveen

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Canberra vs Beijing: Getting serious about costs

It is impossible to have a useful public debate about the value of sovereignty if we refuse to put a price on it.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Unspoken danger in buying more missiles to defend Australia

Originally published in the Sydney Morning Herald

By Sam Roggeveen

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Morrison’s defence reset

The Prime Minister wants a defence force for a region which is “poorer, more dangerous and more disorderly”.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Emerging From COVID: Policy Responses To The Pandemic

In this new feature, Lowy Institute experts provide policy recommendations for Australia to address issues that are critical to our nation’s — and the world’s — successful emergence from the pandemic

By Alex Oliver, Natasha Kassam, Richard McGregor, Roland Rajah, Ben Scott, Sam Roggeveen, Hervé Lemahieu , Stephen Grenville, Alyssa Leng, John Edwards, Ben Bland, Alexandre Dayant, Shane McLeod, Jonathan Pryke

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Emerging from COVID: Policy Responses to the Pandemic

Lowy Institute experts provide policy recommendations for Australia to address issues that are critical to our nation's — and the world's — successful emergence from the pandemic

By Ben Bland, Alexandre Dayant, John Edwards, Stephen Grenville, Natasha Kassam, Hervé Lemahieu , Richard McGregor, Shane McLeod, Alex Oliver, Jonathan Pryke, Roland Rajah, Sam Roggeveen, Ben Scott

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Global megatrends are coming for the ANZUS alliance

Originally published in the Canberra Times

By Sam Roggeveen

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COVIDcast: Hugh White on Coronavirus and Asia’s power balance

The latest episode in a podcast to discuss the implications of coronavirus for Australia, the region and the world.

By Sam Roggeveen, Hugh White

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COVIDcast: Hugh White on Coronavirus and Asia’s power balance

In this episode of COVIDcast, Sam Roggeveen, Lowy Institute’s Director of the International Security Program, sat down with Professor Hugh White to discuss the connection between the pandemic and the changing balance of power in Asia.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Canberra vs Beijing: A reply to Alan Dupont

We can’t base plans for the future on a chance China may fail. We are yet to internalise how successful it may be.

By Sam Roggeveen

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What’s missing from the Strategic Update

Cute but not cuddly – the goal for defence should be to impose unacceptable costs on a predator that tries to attack.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Wuhan lab claims: Is Australia questioning China? Or the US? Both?

Leaked claims, supposed intelligence dossiers, angry outbursts. Lowy experts look to make sense of a Covid controversy.

By Ben Scott, Sam Roggeveen, Natasha Kassam

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Helping Indonesia to help ourselves

Originally published in the Australian Financial Review

By Roland Rajah, Sam Roggeveen

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Who will be the 21st century’s rule maker?

Asia needs a new order for the post-American era, and it cannot be a liberal one.

By Sam Roggeveen

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China, Australia, and the gulf between leaders and led

The biggest shift in Australia’s strategic circumstances in a century will test our politics as much as our US alliance.

By Sam Roggeveen

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US-China competition in Asia: Who risks wins

Victory in great power games have rested on military might far more than the attractiveness of a leadership model.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Why the day of the party is done

Originally published in the Australian Financial Review

By Sam Roggeveen

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Our Very Own Brexit: Response to reviewers

It is the decline of the traditional parties that destabilises our politics, not burgeoning right-wing populism.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Favourites of 2019: The Twitterverse

Occasionally inspiring and frequently very funny, Twitter is the great modern meeting point – mostly.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Australia’s Brexit?

Loss of confidence in political parties could translate into disengagement from our region. Originally published in Inside Story

By Sam Roggeveen

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When our security makes the neighbours feel vulnerable

Talk of new bombers ignores one important fact about the region: Australia is not in charge anymore.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Our Very Own Brexit

Australia’s Hollow Politics and Where It Could Lead Us

By Sam Roggeveen

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In conversation: Weak parties, hollow politics, and democratic danger

Could a radical break with Asia be the cost of a growing dislocation of the political parties and the Australian public?

By George Megalogenis, Sam Roggeveen

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The sharp sword: China and the drone threat to Australia

Combat drones could loiter over targets for hours longer than a crewed aircraft, posing a very different type of threat.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Are Trumpians or Boltonians in charge?

The US alliance is the great totem of Australia's foreign policy, before which our major parties kneel. But they should look up once in a while, lest the tectonic plates shift again and the totem topples. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review

By Sam Roggeveen

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Book review: Hugh White’s How to Defend Australia

This quietly radical book calls on Australia to plan as if our US alliance will diminish to the point of vanishing.

By Sam Roggeveen

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National security: Australians and their elites

A tour through this year’s Lowy Institute Poll to see where the public differs from political leaders.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Fierravanti-Wells’ outburst tells more than just a China story

A Liberal senator’s spectacular break with party discipline shows differences on Beijing cut across partisan lines.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Australia’s election: what the hell just happened?

Don’t assume the last decade of political chaos is over as the major parties remain drained of authority and purpose.

By Sam Roggeveen

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Is Australia Next?

Amid the sound and fury of US President Donald Trump, European populists, and Brexiteers, it is tempting to think that Australia has been spared from the political turmoil sweeping Western democracies. But if one focuses not on the rise of populism but on the decline of the mainstream, Australia no

By Sam Roggeveen