Commentary | 27 July 2004

Flaws in climate-change research need fixing

Professor McKibbin, drawing on a recent Lowy Institute Working Paper, argues that there are a number of problems in the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change, Special Report on Emission Scenarios that forms the basis of many longer term climate predictions.

Warwick McKibbin

  • Warwick McKibbin

Professor McKibbin, drawing on a recent Lowy Institute Working Paper, argues that there are a number of problems in the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change, Special Report on Emission Scenarios that forms the basis of many longer term climate predictions.

Warwick McKibbin

  • Warwick McKibbin

Executive Summary

With climate change such a potentially important problem, it is critical that the technical analyses used to inform policy decisions, and which drive other research on the impact of climate change, be thoroughly understood, openly debated and whenever possible improved. The paper offers some directions forward. 

This essay was first published as a Weekend Essay in the Australian Financial Review, 24 July 2004. 

Professor McKibbin's Working Paper, Long Run Projections for Climate Change Scenarios, can be downloaded from the Lowy Institute website.