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Thursday 24 Aug 2017 | 07:16 | SYDNEY
Thursday 24 Aug 2017 | 07:16 | SYDNEY

Iranian revolution redux

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COMMENTS

1 July 2009 10:31

Lydia Khalil, a non-resident fellow in the West Asia program and international affairs fellow in residence at the New York-based Council on Foreign Relations has an interesting take on the unrest in Iran in the Christian Science Monitor. 

Lydia makes an important point, namely that we should not view the current unrest as isolated from what has been happening in Iran since the revolution. Nor indeed should we view what has happened as the end of any prospect of reform or even of more dramatic change, even if the reformers have probably lost this round. 

As I said in my post a couple of days ago, even the more conservative members of the regime will be uncomfortable with the growing power of the Revolutionary Guard. More or less since the revolution, a key job of the Supreme Leader has been to balance the various ideological currents and interest groups within the regime. Khamenei now seems to have decided that this doesn’t matter, and the balance may now have shifted more decisively in a more hardline direction. The big question is whether, in doing so, Khamenei has now sown the seeds of the regime’s own unravelling.

Photo by Flickr user yish, used under a Creative Commons license.

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