Despite the Indian government’s promise to double farmers’ income by 2022, producers have faced one difficulty after another in the last few years. In late 2018, amid a spike in farmer suicides, growers took to the streets to demand loan waivers and higher prices for their produce in an effort to tackle mounting debt. In 2020, with scope for record harvests in rice and wheat, farmers appeared optimistic about their year. This optimism was quickly dampened when the Modi government introduced three new farm acts, which led to protests that continued into 2021. Farmers congregated in Delhi, the national capital, to object to the takeover of the agricultural sector by big corporates – yet have little to show for their demonstrations.
Ever since the first lockdown in India, producers have faced serious difficulties in maintaining their livelihoods. A study conducted in May 2020 among almost 1500 farmers revealed that of the 11 per cent who did not harvest their crop, 24 per cent cited lockdown-related reasons. Of the 63 per cent of farmers who were able to harvest in the month prior to the survey, 39 per cent had stored their crop, with half citing lockdown issues as the reason. Another survey reported that 15 per cent of farmers were unable to sell their harvest due to lockdowns.
These issues are, in part, the result of one of the first consequences of the pandemic: the change in migration patterns. As migrant workers lost their jobs in the cities and returned to their villages, families faced the added pressure of having more mouths to feed. Most migrants were quick to enter the local labour force as a way to contribute to their family’s income. The increased demand for jobs and the willingness to work for lower pay depressed overall wage rates and may ultimately affect the viability and productivity of agriculture as a profession in India.
The availability of more able-bodied men may also sideline women who are working in agriculture, rejigging gender dynamics. Some migrants are also seasonal and are expected to return to their villages for rice-sowing season. However, many of them were stranded in cities during the lockdown. This limited their movement and led to labour shortages in their home villages.
In some cases, states such as Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh – who are reliant on farm labourers from the eastern parts of India, such as Odisha and Jharkhand for harvests – suffered labour shortages and potentially lower yields and profits during the lockdown. Given that these areas are considered “breadbasket states” due to the crops they produce, their underproductivity has serious implications for food security around the country.