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Published daily by the Lowy Institute

  • 22 hours ago
    • China
    • Technology

    China's cyber forces are impressive, and growing

    David Vallance
    Beijing is harnessing civilian hackers and military units to build one of the world's most powerful cyber forces.
  • 2 days ago
    • China
    • Maritime Security
    • Russia
    • Climate change
    • International law
    • United Nations
    • United States

    The truth about Arctic "strategic competition"

    Saxon Wright-Casanova
    The region is far less important, and less contested, than commonly claimed.
  • 2 days ago
    • China
    • Technology
    • United States

    The sidelining of human capital in Western industrial policy

    Aylon Berger
    American high school seniors can’t pass algebra. Meanwhile, China dominates the tech sector with homegrown knowledge capital.
  • 21 Jan 2026
    • China
    • Australia
    • AUKUS
    • Diplomacy
    • United States

    Trump has swapped “productive hypocrisy” for crude exercises of power

    Sophie Wushuang Yi
    Washington hasn’t changed its behaviour towards allies and adversaries – only its honesty about it.
  • 19 Jan 2026
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • Thailand
    • United States

    Peace the Asian way?: China’s role in the Thailand-Cambodia conflict

    Susannah Patton
    The contrast between American and Chinese approaches to the border dispute is stark.
  • 19 Jan 2026
    • China
    • Vietnam
    • Global Economy
    • Trade

    Yes, Vietnam really is winning the trade wars

    Roland Rajah
    Higher exports are delivering real gains, alongside rerouted Chinese production.
  • 19 Jan 2026
    • China
    • Russia
    • Global Economy
    • Trade

    The decline of sanctions

    Imran Khalid
    A once useful policy instrument is being undermined by evasion and a crisis of legitimacy
  • 13 Jan 2026
    • China
    • Energy
    • Sustainability

    The green mirage: China’s clean tech built on coal

    Luke Heilbuth
    Beijing’s green credentials rely on fossil fuel. The West prefers not to notice.
  • 8 Jan 2026
    • China
    • India

    Beijing’s view of China–India relations

    Chietigj Bajpaee
    A visit to Beijing reveals faultlines in the China-India relationship, and a few stereotypes.
  • 7 Jan 2026
    • China
    • Global Issues
    • United States

    China vs America: Dan Wang and his sceptics

    Stephen Grenville
    The critical reception to "Breakneck" and what it reveals about America and China.
  • 18 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Diplomacy
    • United States

    When slogans and soundbites stand in for strategy

    Henry Yep
    From Beijing to Washington, words only work if strategy and resources match promises.
  • 17 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    A red banner year for the PLA

    Sam Roggeveen
    For observers of the Chinese military, 2025 has been a year like no other.
  • 17 Dec 2025
    • China
    • India

    China’s dispute with India over Arunachal Pradesh

    Victoria Jones
    The detainment in Shanghai of an Indian citizen highlights Beijing’s fixation with controlling narratives of statehood.
  • 16 Dec 2025
    • China
    • India
    • Taiwan
    • Trade

    Leveraging Taiwan: India’s strategic counterbalance to China

    Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
    Record trade and closer ties with Taipei mark New Delhi’s shift from caution to assertiveness.
  • 11 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    Solving the puzzle of China's defence spending

    David Vallance
    Can we accurately calculate China's defence spending now, and even a decade into the future?
  • 11 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Energy
    • Trade

    Why the Ukraine war works in China’s favour

    Nikola Mikovic
    China has Russia cornered – reliant on Beijing for markets and energy exports and playing the role of junior partner.
  • 10 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Indonesia

    China’s new media platform: Telling stories, shaping narratives

    Muhammad Zulfikar Rakhmat , Yeta Purnama
    The Maritime Silk Road Media Cooperation Platform offers opportunities for media outlets from Indonesia – but also poses risks.
  • 10 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Global Economy

    China raises the cost of Indonesia’s neutrality

    Aniello Iannone
    Far from mere choreography, Beijing is shaping Jakarta’s growth agenda to suit its future core interests.
  • 5 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Global Economy

    Fighting China’s subsidies means copying China’s economic model

    Srijan Shukla
    Rather than just raising trade barriers, countries should predict where Chinese subsidies will move next to compete there.
  • 2 Dec 2025
    • China
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • Defence & Security
    • Nuclear Weapons

    Why xenophobia won't solve South Korea's China problem

    Dylan Motin
    A rise in anti-Chinese sentiment damages Seoul’s image and fails to address the real issues of defence and security.
  • 1 Dec 2025
    • China
    • Indonesia

    How China views its economic relations with Indonesia

    Alexander R. Arifianto , Virdika Rizky Utama
    Economic dependence, not alliance, suits Beijing’s interests.
  • 27 Nov 2025
    • China
    • Australia
    • Australian trade, investment & economy
    • Energy

    Critical minerals: Why fast-tracking undermines democratic legitimacy

    Katherine Teh
    With mineral projects taking years to move from exploration to production, Australia must hasten carefully.
  • 27 Nov 2025
    • China
    • Taiwan
    • Australia
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    From Kabul to Kyiv, Trump’s pattern is clear – negotiate with enemies, sideline allies

    Mick Ryan
    Australia and other partners must plainly see that America’s commitment to defending democracies is fading fast.
  • 25 Nov 2025
    • Asia
    • Asean
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Malaysia
    • Thailand
    • Vietnam
    • Global Economy
    • Trade
    • United States

    Southeast Asian manufacturing: No longer immune from geopolitics

    Apoorba Banerjee
    The region’s industrial sector must adapt in a new climate of supply-chain weaponisation.
  • 17 Nov 2025
    • China
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    The paradox of US military retrenchment in the Asia-Pacific

    Denny Roy
    A partial retreat in the region could backfire, flaming tensions and emboldening China’s aggression.
  • 14 Nov 2025
    • China
    • Global Issues
    • United States

    The US-China fentanyl deal will not stop America’s opioid crisis

    Rupert Stone
    Synthetic drug makers can adapt faster than governments regulate, rendering precursor bans at best short-term respite.
  • 13 Nov 2025
    • Asia
    • Asean
    • China
    • Philippines
    • Timor-Leste

    Where the Philippines might lead ASEAN

    Richard Javad Heydarian
    Will Manila shake off its “deputy sheriff” badge to become the anchor of a new coalition in Southeast Asia?
  • 12 Nov 2025
    • China
    • North Korea
    • Taiwan

    Will North Korea defend China in a Taiwan war?

    Khang Vu
    Pyongyang’s contribution to Moscow’s war against Ukraine means a difficult question needs to be asked in the event shooting starts.
  • 31 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Philippines
    • South China Sea

    High waters, deep divisions in views of the South China Sea

    Sophie Wushuang Yi
    One side’s freedom of navigation is the other’s territorial violation – and no code of conduct seems set to reconcile this.
  • 28 Oct 2025
    • China
    • India

    Is the India–China détente real?

    Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
    Existential differences and longstanding distrust make the current normalisation of relations deeply unstable.
  • 21 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Taiwan
    • Australia
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    What Trump told Albanese about Taiwan matters more than AUKUS

    Sam Roggeveen
    False confidence can breed dangerous assumptions in any US stand-off with China.
  • 21 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Europe
    • Global Economy
    • Technology

    What a chipmaker in the Netherlands can tell Australia about its commercial relations with China

    Carolin Kautz
    Commercial disputes with China can escalate quickly – and apparently stable ties can be quickly upended.
  • 17 Oct 2025
    • China

    China’s innovation fixation

    Neil Thomas
    The coming plenum will reveal Xi’s economic agenda as security project, not growth program.
  • 17 Oct 2025
    • Aid & Development
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Laos
    • Malaysia
    • Myanmar
    • Thailand
    • Vietnam

    Signal failure for China’s railway diplomacy in Southeast Asia

    Grace Stanhope
    As Indonesia renegotiates railway debt with China, other Southeast Asian nations face a cautionary tale about mega-projects.
  • 17 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Australia
    • Energy
    • United States

    Trump wants our rare earths minerals, but we should keep selling to China too

    Stephen Grenville
    With almost “the whole periodic table” on offer, Australia should avoid choosing sides in the US–China minerals tussle.
  • 15 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Malaysia
    • Australia
    • Trade
    • Sustainability
    • Technology
    • United States

    Rare earth showdown: Why the West must learn to pick winners – and partners

    Jersey Lee , Andrew Goledzinowski
    Albanese must convince Trump that only allied cooperation can break China's rare earth chokehold.
  • 13 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Russia
    • United States

    Why the US–Japan–South Korea trilateral agreement must evolve

    Ju Hyung Kim
    History shows us that an adaptive coalition built on trust and interoperability can trump formal alliances.
  • 8 Oct 2025
    • China
    • India
    • Pakistan
    • United States

    Pakistan’s Pasni port pitch to Washington can reshape regional rivalries with China and India

    Saima Afzal
    Minerals over missiles – at least, that’s the message Islamabad is sending.
  • 6 Oct 2025
    • China
    • North Korea
    • Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament
    • Nuclear Weapons

    The great omission: A clarifying statement on North Korea’s nukes

    Seong-Hyon Lee
    A quiet but seismic shift in Beijing’s language reveals a new reality: China now treats a nuclear North Korea as a practical reality.
  • 3 Oct 2025
    • Asia
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Malaysia
    • Taiwan
    • Trade
    • United States

    America’s EV plan needs Southeast Asia more than it admits

    Apoorba Banerjee
    Unless the US wants to pay more and wait longer, it should secure trusted capacity from non-Chinese supply chains.
  • 1 Oct 2025
    • China
    • Philippines
    • Taiwan
    • Defence & Security
    • Maritime Security
    • United States

    Manila’s lonely island at the centre of Taiwan contingency planning

    Frances Mangosing
    At the Philippines’ northernmost point, troops guard waters that could determine Taiwan’s fate.
  • 1 Oct 2025
    • Asia
    • China
    • Technology
    • United States

    How Trump’s $14 billion TikTok tug-of-war affects Asia

    Akhmad Hanan
    With Western nations cracking down on the wildly popular app, does Beijing have its sights set on the developing markets?
  • 29 Sep 2025
    • Afghanistan
    • China
    • Pakistan
    • Russia
    • United States

    Afghanistan must tread a narrow path to stability

    Ishaal Zehra
    Denial and extremism have plagued the Taliban’s return. Will they let history repeat itself or can they reform?
  • 22 Sep 2025
    • China
    • Defence & Security

    China’s Victory Day parade: A tale of two audiences

    Sophie Wushuang Yi
    Beijing’s military showcase revealed the challenge of projecting strength abroad while maintaining confidence at home.
  • 22 Sep 2025
    • Asia
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Japan
    • Australia

    Complacent nation: Australia and the Asian Century

    Tim Watts
    Decades of ambition have left us with a nation still unable to speak the language of our neighbours.
  • 18 Sep 2025
    • China
    • India
    • Nepal

    Nepal’s generational revolt catches China and India in the middle

    Saima Afzal
    Political upheaval in Kathmandu tests the limits of great power influence in South Asia.
  • 18 Sep 2025
    • China
    • Energy
    • Technology
    • United States

    US-China rare earth talks: Trading predictability for time

    Apoorba Banerjee
    Transparency in rare earth licensing could tame market volatility.
  • 12 Sep 2025
    • China
    • Taiwan
    • Diplomacy

    Taiwan's diplomacy doesn't have to come from the government

    Julien Oeuillet
    City-to-city agreements are creating small but powerful connections for Taiwan in ways its national officials cannot.
  • 11 Sep 2025
    • China
    • Myanmar
    • Technology
    • United States

    Northern Myanmar: The latest stop in Trump’s rare earths escapade

    Henry Storey
    The likelihood of Chinese buy-in on US–Myanmar mining deals is remote.
  • 10 Sep 2025
    • Brunei
    • China
    • Indonesia
    • Malaysia
    • Philippines
    • Vietnam
    • Maritime Security
    • South China Sea
    • Technology

    The South China Sea’s next legal frontier: Ships without sailors

    Pornomo Rovan Astri Yoga
    Unmanned warships blur legal boundaries as technology outpaces international law in contested maritime zones.
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