In less than three months’ time, Cambodians will head to the polls to cast their ballot in the national election. Already faced with the difficult choice of which party and candidate to vote for, Cambodians now have to decide whether they should vote at all.
Cambodia’s former opposition and self-exiled leader, Sam Rainsy, has called on Cambodians to boycott their vote if the Cambodia National Rescue Party (CNRP) is not reinstated in the election.
The call follows the November dissolution of the CNRP, Cambodia’s main opposition party, by the Supreme Court on charges the party was attempting to overthrow the government. Given the unlikelihood of the CNRP being reinstated, Rainsy believes that only a boycott can help bring about democratic change in Cambodia. He anticipates that the three million voters who supported his party in the last election will not vote.
The absence of the CNRP has challenged the election’s legitimacy and whether it is truly free and fair. A group of 45 countries, including the US, Germany, and Australia, expressed concerns at the United Nations Human Rights Council in March. Both the European Union and the US have withdrawn support for Cambodia ahead of the ballot, yet China has been unwavering and is providing equipment for the July election.
Through the Cambodian National Rescue Movement he created in the US to continue the CNRP’s political struggle, Rainsy has warned he could appeal for peaceful demonstrations by encouraging factory workers and civilians to go on strike.
Rainsy hopes for a repeat of the demonstrations that occurred in the 2013 general election, when about 20,000 protesters gathered in Phnom Penh’s Freedom Park. However, a similar mass mobilisation will not be permitted to occur again under the government’s watch.
In response to Rainsy’s calls for a boycott, Prime Minister Hun Sen emphasised the election will proceed as planned:
The process of democracy in Cambodia will not be obstructed by any individual or any group because pluralistic democracy continues to be alive.
Dubbed the “strongman” who has ruled Cambodia for more than three decades, Sen has no intention of loosening his grip on power in the near future. Following the dissolution of the CNRP, Senate elections in February saw the Cambodian People’s Party (CPP) claim all 58 seats. In the absence of the CNRP, it is expected the CPP will secure a majority of seats in the general election, further entrenching its dominance since 1985.
Several opposition parties have raised concerns about the National Election Committee (NEC) and appealed to the public to ignore the boycott call. Many of the contending opposition parties share the same constituents as the CNRP, and a boycott would negatively affect their chances in the election.
Rainsy has strongly criticised the participation of the smaller political parties. “I compare the party which has been pushed to join the fake election to an ahpparty”, he said, referring to a type of demonic spirit with a head but no body.
This backlash from Rainsy is not surprising. He has emphasised that without his involvement and that of the CNRP in Cambodian politics, there will be no such thing as a real opposition to the ruling CPP.
To him, the notion of other parties taking the baton in continuing the democratic struggle he helped cultivate over the past two decades is absurd. The other parties will have to prove him wrong.