Broadly speaking, the Trump administration has been terrible on the issue of human rights. The president has repeatedly praised autocrats and has exhibited his own authoritarian tendencies. He has regularly undermined democracy promotion efforts. In 2018, the US withdrew from the UN Human Rights Council. In short, the criticism that the Trump administration is not all that interested in rights is more than valid.
The sanctions on Silva, therefore, are notable, but they’re largely symbolic. It’s unclear what impact the move will have on US–Sri Lanka relations.
Moreover, the singling out of Silva for sanctions probably isn’t really about human rights or war crimes concerns in Sri Lanka. Rather, it looks like Washington is trying to put pressure on Colombo for geopolitical reasons – largely due to concerns about China’s influence – with the hope that Sri Lanka will be mindful of US interests in the country and beyond.
In recent times, US influence in Sri Lanka has been hotly debated. This includes matters ranging from military cooperation to development to wider (and baseless) assertions that the US is actively seeking to undermine Sri Lanka’s sovereignty. Last month, Colombo announced that it won’t move ahead with a major development agreement, a grant that would have been made possible by $480 million of US government funding. The agreement was “aimed at reducing poverty through economic growth”.
Using human rights for geopolitical leverage is a risky move, because the Trump administration doesn’t want to push the Rajapaksa administration too hard on this issue. Accordingly, it has singled out one alleged (and very high profile) war criminal.
The sanctions almost certainly will not result in Sri Lanka finally getting serious about holding its alleged war criminals to account. After all, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa served as defence secretary from 2005 to 2015, and has been implicated in war crimes by a UN panel of experts, as has his brother, current Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, who served as president from 2005 to 2015. To this day, the Rajapaksas are venerated as war heroes by many ethnic Sinhalese for overseeing the defeat of the separatist Tamil Tigers and ending three decades of war.
On the other hand, these US sanctions are for many a welcome move, whatever their actual motive – particularly for victims and survivors from the Tamil community. The designation further tarnishes Silva’s international reputation and that of the Sri Lankan military more generally.
Beyond that, there is no telling what the lasting significance will be – or if other similar actions might be forthcoming.
Taylor Dibbert