1 day ago
Trump’s climate retreat will cost America influence in the Pacific
So much for the solemn declarations of “family”.
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2 days ago
A Big Tech race to the bottom is bad news for everyone
Tariffs might not be the only trade obstacle with Trump’s America. “Censorship” could be the next test. -
2 days ago
Melting ice caps reveals the scourge of colonialism
Donald Trump shows no regard for the rights and autonomy of the Indigenous Inuit population who make up the majority of Greenland’s residents. -
15 Jan 2025
Meta power move is about more than fact checking
We can expect more pushback from US tech companies towards national governments – but will this also come with official US government support? -
14 Jan 2025
Trump goes deep into the Panama Canal
But Panama, which is very proud of its operations, already has plans that would be in America’s interests. -
14 Jan 2025
The legal options for Trump to acquire Greenland
A Compact of Free Association akin to arrangements in the Pacific could be one answer, if Greenlanders agree. -
14 Jan 2025
The practical obstacles to Canada as the 51st state
Be serious for a moment – even if Donald Trump often doesn’t seem to be – and think through what stands in the way of an enlarged union. -
10 Jan 2025
The riotous return of the mercantilists
Trump’s tariffs mantra has changed the zeitgeist – but to a habit nations have long held. -
10 Jan 2025
Canada’s bumpy road ahead of Trump’s presidency, and its own election
Justin Trudeau’s political demise was well underway, but annexation anxiety won’t make Canada’s next choice any easier. -
6 Jan 2025
Australia’s predicament in navigating a new era of techno-nationalism
If “the great tech decoupling” between the United States and China does come about, there will be costs. -
30 Dec 2024
The foreign policy of Jimmy Carter
Carter believed the US should downplay its preoccupation with the Cold War yet setbacks escalated tensions dramatically. -
30 Dec 2024
Whether EVs or solar panels, protectionism has the same distorting effect
Biden is playing election politics with tariffs on China’s electric cars, while Albanese’s solar subsidy plans might end up costing Australia. -
20 Dec 2024
Trump’s relations with the Blue Pacific
The second Trump administration will find a region different from when last in office. -
20 Dec 2024
A US dollar deal? Explaining a lack of enthusiasm for a Plaza Accord redux
A few lessons from economic history for a start. -
19 Dec 2024
What a Trump second term holds for global development
Judging by track records, there's a bumpy road ahead for aid, health and climate funding. -
18 Dec 2024
What I’ll be watching for in 2025
Lowy researchers gaze at their crystal balls – with questions, more than answers, for the year ahead. -
17 Dec 2024
Jake Sullivan on leadership that changes history
The US National Security Adviser reflects on the central role of the United States in the inaugural Lowy Interview. -
17 Dec 2024
Donald Trump and the “crypto capital of the planet”
Bitter experience shows a “global” crisis can result from failures of domestic governance and regulatory oversight in the United States. -
12 Dec 2024
Peru’s new megaport reveals a refined Belt and Road
China’s gain is America’s loss as deal wraps up control of key Latin American port for more than half a century. -
10 Dec 2024
China’s EV manufacturing and Australia’s connected vehicles conundrum
Canberra faces complicated trade-offs between competing domestic and foreign policy objectives. -
5 Dec 2024
The unilateral trading system: US trade policy for Trump, again
Trump wants systemic changes and his recent tariff threats show that no issue is off limits. -
29 Nov 2024
As traditional “Anglo” international education destinations falter, Asia-Pacific countries look closer to home
Chinese students are largely driving the surge in international students choosing universities across the region. -
22 Nov 2024
Trump’s victory is a triumph for authoritarianism, too
A new era of strongman leadership puts the advancement of international cooperation in doubt. -
20 Nov 2024
She won’t be right: Trump’s return and Australia’s red lines
The lessons from his first term hold limited relevance for what is on the way. -
19 Nov 2024
Reading between the lines of Xi and Biden’s last meeting
Some remarkably frank language was perhaps intended for a different audience than the one across the table. -
19 Nov 2024
Why getting Pyongyang back to the negotiating table will be harder in Trump’s second term
The North Korea of 2025 is in a vastly different position to where it found itself in 2017. -
18 Nov 2024
An early winter in Kyiv?
Unpicking the implications of Trump’s election win on the war in Ukraine. -
15 Nov 2024
What does Trump’s return mean for America’s relations with Russia?
Whatever happens over the next four years, the underlying causes of Russia–US confrontation won’t go away. -
14 Nov 2024
Economic diplomacy: It’s populists vs plutocrats in Trump Take 2
Australia’s hopes of a modest economic impact from the Trump administration’s actions will require navigating the financial tensions at its heart. -
8 Nov 2024
What Trump’s win means for global climate negotiations
The US election result casts a shadow over next week’s UN climate talks in Azerbaijan. But the world can’t afford to down tools. -
7 Nov 2024
Penny Wong is quizzed about Trump, again, again and again
And her main message was to be confident about Australia. -
6 Nov 2024
America makes Trump great, again
First thoughts on where Trump will steer US actions in Asia, the Pacific, and the rest of the world. -
6 Nov 2024
Where Harris and Trump agree on AI: Beat China
But can ethics keep pace with a desire for speed in development? -
29 Oct 2024
Drawing from global lessons, an apology long in the waiting for Native Americans
There is something distinctive about America’s historical inability to acknowledge a history of colonialism, making a rare moment of truth telling stand out. -
28 Oct 2024
What a Trump return might mean for AUKUS and the Quad
A nascent regional security “minilateral” architecture is vulnerable to Trump’s brand of disruption. -
24 Oct 2024
China’s cleantech investment in the US: Leg-up or security threat?
Security hawks have struggled to articulate a compelling case for completely pulling up the drawbridge. -
11 Oct 2024
The US wakes up to China’s latest threat – big ships
Hardly a day goes by that Chinese shipyards don’t book another fat contract for a commercial vessel. -
9 Oct 2024
EVs to the internet: Can the US and China unwind technology interdependence without disaster?
Bifurcation is a buzzword. But we are in new territory. -
9 Oct 2024
Governor Tim Walz and Minnesota’s relations with China
Supine? His record says no, but he’s not a strategist, either. -
7 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and Ukraine: Is the US truly committed to Ukrainian victory?
The only nation with a viable theory of victory is Russia. Harris must decide if the US will change that equation. -
7 Oct 2024
Trump would put personality over policy in the Middle East
Donald Trump’s overarching impulse towards the Middle East can be boiled down to: look strong, but don’t do too much. -
4 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and national security: The rising cost of military leadership
A Harris administration is unlikely to reverse America’s eroding military advantage over China. -
4 Oct 2024
A Trump win splits the East Asian triangle
Much commentary about China and the US election has suggested Beijing prefers Trump. In fact, the opposite might be the case. -
3 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Indo-Pacific: Correcting the attention deficit
Many Southeast Asian countries already see the United States as a more distant and less reliable partner. -
3 Oct 2024
Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war
If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine. -
2 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and the Pacific Islands
Pacific Island countries want to hear more from the Democratic nominee about how she will support the region. -
2 Oct 2024
Trumpian economic nationalism is not what the world or America needs
Donald Trump’s policies are a recipe for higher global inflation, greater fragmentation, and more inequality. -
1 Oct 2024
Power in Asia: Pivots, paper tigers and regional poles
Pundits weaving stories of power transition in the Indo-Pacific should rely on robust data to flesh out the narrative. -
1 Oct 2024
Kamala Harris and China: Competition and antagonism, continued
Harris is largely a blank slate on China policy. She is likely to stick to Biden policy positions and instincts, which means relations will remain rocky. -
1 Oct 2024
Trump and Asian security
Ideological and policy tribalism is a feature of every presidency. The new Trump team will be no different.