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Published daily by the Lowy Institute

  • 1 day ago
    • Defence & Security
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and national security: The rising cost of military leadership

    Sam Roggeveen
    A Harris administration is unlikely to reverse America’s eroding military advantage over China.
  • 2 days ago
    • Asia
    • China
    • China's Government
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    A Trump win splits the East Asian triangle

    Richard McGregor
    Much commentary about China and the US election has suggested Beijing prefers Trump. In fact, the opposite might be the case.
  • 2 days ago
    • Southeast Asia
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and the Indo-Pacific: Correcting the attention deficit

    Susannah Patton
    Many Southeast Asian countries already see the United States as a more distant and less reliable partner.
  • 3 Oct 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war

    Mick Ryan
    If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine.
  • 2 Oct 2024
    • Pacific Islands
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and the Pacific Islands

    Meg Keen
    Pacific Island countries want to hear more from the Democratic nominee about how she will support the region.
  • 2 Oct 2024
    • Global Economy
    • Geo-economics
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Economy
    • US Elections

    Trumpian economic nationalism is not what the world or America needs

    Roland Rajah
    Donald Trump’s policies are a recipe for higher global inflation, greater fragmentation, and more inequality.
  • 1 Oct 2024
    • China
    • United States

    Power in Asia: Pivots, paper tigers and regional poles

    Stacie E. Goddard
    Pundits weaving stories of power transition in the Indo-Pacific should rely on robust data to flesh out the narrative.
  • 1 Oct 2024
    • China
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Economy
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and China: Competition and antagonism, continued

    Richard McGregor
    Harris is largely a blank slate on China policy. She is likely to stick to Biden policy positions and instincts, which means relations will remain rocky.
  • 1 Oct 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Trump and Asian security

    Sam Roggeveen
    Ideological and policy tribalism is a feature of every presidency. The new Trump team will be no different.
  • 30 Sep 2024
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Economy
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and trade: Better than the alternative, but not much

    Jenny Gordon
    Judging by the lack of major policy announcements from the Harris campaign, her administration is likely to largely maintain the Biden trajectory.
  • 30 Sep 2024
    • Australia-United States Relations
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    How Australia should deal with Trump

    Michael Fullilove
    Trump disparages the liberal international order. Australia may need to serve in its bodyguard.
  • 26 Sep 2024
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • Quad
    • United States

    The Quad has solid foundations

    Kieran Thompson
    Questions of the group’s future after the leaders’ summit are misguided.
  • 25 Sep 2024
    • Taiwan
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Bargaining chips: What the Vance Doctrine means for Taiwan

    Jordan McGillis
    With Taiwanese chips integral to the US economy, the would-be vice president is promoting his own brand of restrained nationalism.
  • 23 Sep 2024
    • Australia
    • Diplomacy
    • Public Opinion
    • United States

    Out of the way, USA

    Mark Pierce
    Focus on the United States might well reduce our bandwidth for what is going on in other regions.
  • 23 Sep 2024
    • Asia
    • China
    • India
    • North Korea
    • Singapore
    • South Korea
    • United States

    Power in Asia: Outliers and curiosities

    Susannah Patton , Jack Sato
    Some findings of the latest Asia Power Index controvert conventional wisdom.
  • 20 Sep 2024
    • Asia
    • China
    • Southeast Asia
    • United States

    Why US-China bipolarity is good for Asia

    Hervé Lemahieu
    Restoring US primacy is not in Asia’s interests but preserving a power balance with China is.
  • 11 Sep 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Harris vs Trump marks the lines of foreign policy debate

    Daniel Flitton
    Look past the barbs and snappy sound bites and the real choice is clear.
  • 10 Sep 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    AI might better predict Trump’s foreign policy

    Ben Scott
    A method marked the madness and can be decoded.
  • 9 Sep 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Three safe bets on the 47th president’s foreign policy

    George Boone
    Whatever the outcome of the US election, states will remain self-interested, and material power will reign supreme.
  • 4 Sep 2024
    • China
    • United States

    Can the US and China avoid a catastrophic clash?

    Daniel R. DePetris
    Jake Sullivan’s trip to Beijing was about managing tension and that’s the best that can be hoped for.
  • 2 Sep 2024
    • China
    • Australia
    • Resource security
    • Technology
    • United States

    Antimony: The hidden metal fuelling global competition

    Marina Yue Zhang
    China’s latest critical mineral restrictions have caught attention – but mooted solutions might not deliver.
  • 29 Aug 2024
    • China
    • Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament
    • Nuclear Weapons
    • United States

    US shifts nuclear focus to counter China’s growing arsenal

    Amrita Jash
    Beijing’s nuclear modernisation means its intentions and commitments to non-proliferation will continue to be questioned.
  • 29 Aug 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Harris vs Trump, and the foreign policy shake-up ahead

    Arthur Sinodinos
    From AUKUS and the South China Sea, to Taiwan and Ukraine, Canberra and other allies will need creative diplomacy in their kit bag after November's election.
  • 16 Aug 2024
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • Australia
    • United States

    Farewell Fumio Kishida – regional foundations are stronger for your legacy

    Jane Hardy
    Too much focus on personality politics can obscure the enduring common interests between countries.
  • 7 Aug 2024
    • Pacific Islands
    • United States

    Looking back at the Biden administration’s Pacific strategy

    Isabelle Zhu-Maguire
    Big promises haven’t always been backed up by delivery. But the main question is about enduring attention.
  • 30 Jul 2024
    • Global Economy
    • Global Financial Crisis
    • Trade
    • United States
    • US Economy

    Made in the USA: America’s gambit to reclaim industrial primacy

    Jack Goldsmith
    Dominance in next-generation industry relies on people and partnerships to short-circuit China’s leading edge.
  • 26 Jul 2024
    • Middle East Conflict
    • Middle East
    • United States

    Martin Indyk, peacemaker

    Ben Scott
    A scholar, a statesman, and a relentless policy entrepreneur. Above all, he was committed to a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian dispute.
  • 26 Jul 2024
    • Australia
    • Diplomacy
    • Middle East
    • United States

    Remembering Martin Indyk, an American diplomat with Australian sensibilities

    The Interpreter
    “Few Australians have had such a large impact on the world, and for good”, said Lowy Institute Chairman Sir Frank Lowy.
  • 26 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Deadpool & Wolverine can rescue America from Trump

    Daniel Flitton
    A superhero film to save a country in danger.
  • 24 Jul 2024
    • China
    • United States

    Don’t expect Trump 2.0 to be so tough on China

    Ben Scott
    Past behaviour is the best guide to future conduct.
  • 23 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    America’s election: It’s not foreign policy, stupid

    Victoria Cooper
    For all the noise of the campaign, the next few months will be a quiet time in America’s approach to international affairs.
  • 22 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Bye Biden

    Daniel Flitton
    The rollercoaster quality of politics and political coverage seems to ensure the head-jerks will continue.
  • 22 Jul 2024
    • Japan
    • South Korea
    • United States

    Japan, South Korea and United States: Let’s hope for a robust, lasting pact

    Jane Hardy
    The new framework for security cooperation will have important consequences for the region – if it survives domestic politics among the partners.
  • 17 Jul 2024
    • Asia
    • United States

    Has Biden “checkmated” China?

    Susannah Patton
    The President is rightly proud of having bolstered US alliances. But claims of beating China are overreach.
  • 15 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Trump attack will bolster his dark vision of America

    Lydia Khalil
    For a candidate that has themselves incited violence while playing the victim, Trump now clearly is the victim.
  • 14 Jul 2024
    • United States

    Immediate questions after the attack on Trump

    Daniel Flitton
    Fairly or not, blame for political violence will now be levelled by both sides.
  • 12 Jul 2024
    • United States

    Is Biden time out of time?

    Ben Bland
    The president is trying to run down the clock on critics, only the fate of US power looms as a question in the American capital, too.
  • 10 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Why Democrats suddenly have “buyer’s remorse” with Biden

    Victoria Cooper
    The public can see Biden’s weaknesses, making his strategy-in-contrast far less persuasive this time around.
  • 9 Jul 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Biden’s candidacy was risky before the debate – and Democrats chose him anyway

    Erin Hurley
    And it will be no small thing to override a sense of personal loyalty and deep affection to give up on a friend.
  • 2 Jul 2024
    • Japan
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Putin goes to Pyongyang: Should we be worried?

    Jane Hardy
    The renewed marriage of convenience between Russia and North Korea has global implications.
  • 28 Jun 2024
    • United States

    So, Trump took out the debate. What if Biden wins the election?

    Daniel Flitton
    What Trump says amounts to an imagined future, whereas Biden’s comments determine policy in the here and now.
  • 28 Jun 2024
    • United States

    A tale of high stakes and nerves centre on the White House

    Ben Scott
    Getting the balance right in the amount of information to provide the US President.
  • 27 Jun 2024
    • Australia
    • Intelligence and security
    • Diplomacy
    • United Kingdom
    • United States

    Julian Assange: Some consular cases are more equal than others

    Ian Kemish
    It’s hard to think of a case that has consumed more official hours and dollars.
  • 27 Jun 2024
    • Australia
    • Intelligence and security
    • United States

    Assange’s guilty plea “crucial” for many in US intelligence community: James Clapper, former DNI

    James Clapper
    Justice has been served and an irritant in US relations with Australia resolved.
  • 25 Jun 2024
    • Australia in the World
    • United States

    America’s about–face on Assange allows Albanese to claim a win

    Daniel Flitton
    Managing different interests between allies isn’t easy.
  • 25 Jun 2024
    • China
    • European Union
    • Trade
    • Sustainability
    • Technology
    • United States

    Tariffs, data security and global collaboration: Navigating the geopolitics of electric vehicles

    Marina Yue Zhang
    Protectionism isn’t going to help with meeting global climate ambitions.
  • 25 Jun 2024
    • Australian Navy
    • Defence & Security
    • United States

    Ten reasons why Trump will support AUKUS

    Peter Dean
    AUKUS will survive regardless of who wins the presidential election in November.
  • 21 Jun 2024
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Dictator on Day One? Trump’s grand plans for the federal bureaucracy

    Samuel Garrett
    The aim to gut the US civil service and install political appointees could happen. But not overnight.
  • 14 Jun 2024
    • Diplomacy
    • United States

    Back to the future for the US State Department?

    Alice Nason , Tom Corben
    Biden’s repair job after Trump turmoil is far from complete.
  • 7 Jun 2024
    • Australia
    • United States

    Malcolm Turnbull makes a call to global leaders with advice on Trump

    Daniel Flitton
    Memories of an infamous falling-out have a former PM offering lessons.
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