Other analysts might argue that, for Europe, the rot set in decades ago. As Garton Ash suggests, the fall of the Berlin Wall might have comprised “an exceptional, once-in-a-million piece of historical luck”. Europe’s ebullient optimism around 1989 needed, however, to be tempered by memories of the mechanistic over-reach in the EU’s Maastricht Treaty, Europeans’ callous decision not to stop the three-year siege of Sarajevo, French and Dutch rejection of the European constitution or emerging indifference to growing inequality. I recall a senior French official describing admission of Greece to the EU as “a generous mistake”. As for Bulgaria and Romania …?
While Garton Ash certainly addresses those early symptoms of decay, he is more concerned about the recent downwards slide. That seems right. Europe’s once prodigious assets seem to be waning, while its problems seem both systemic and intractable. A leader able to address economic inequality, political populism, social discontent, uncontrolled immigration, an ageing population, energy transition, welfare entitlements and the war in Ukraine would be a remarkable, welcome novelty.
In the meantime, readers may rely on Garton Ash for judiciously civil, liberal commentary, often embellished with wry wit. Garton Ash, for instance, describes the early tactics of socialist group Solidarity as “the political equivalent of a judo throw”. He notes whimsically that “Canada would be a perfect EU member”. Europe’s neighbours now possess “the weapon of mass migration”. Garton Ash also scrapes away the “posthumous beatification” of former Czech Republic president Václav Havel to provide a more subtle, nuanced portrait of a friend.
Few possible conjunctures could force a return to the bad old days, “when Siberia began at Checkpoint Charlie”. Nonetheless, the clout of Europeans believing in Churchill’s “bright, sunlit uplands” has slumped, perhaps beyond repair. Europe whole and free, wider and deeper, might just be a mirage.