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CommentaryWhy this Taiwan crisis is more dangerous than the last one
In the decades since the last Taiwan crisis, China’s rapid military build-up has shifted the balance of power around the island decisively in its favour. Originally published in…
CommentaryWhy deglobalisation brings war closer over Taiwan
Decoupling was thought to be the path to stabilising superpower competition. But greater self-sufficiency may make the US and China think they can survive a military conflict and…
CommentaryWhat is Australia’s plan B for China?
The US may not win, and China may not be easily appeased either. We need more eggs in more baskets. Originally published in the Australian Financial Review.
CommentaryNew government in Canberra: A reset for Australia’s Indo-Pacific approach?
Following the May Federal election, Australia has its first centre-left government in close to a decade, led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese. Originally published in the French…
CommentaryLowy Poll: China’s still a worry, but Russia more so
Originally published in The Australian.
CommentaryChina thaw? It’s from the freezer to the fridge for Albanese government
Originally published in the Sydney Morning Herald.
CommentaryChina’s Third Aircraft Carrier Is Aimed at a Post-U.S. Asia
Beijing can’t challenge U.S. naval power directly yet. Originally published in the Foreign Policy Magazine.
CommentaryWest must be calibrated in responding to China’s escalation on Taiwan
The US and its allies have a tricky diplomatic job of deterring a determined China without raising the temperature even higher. Originally published in the Australian Financial…
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