A local Congress vote on 18 May showed complex nuances: 25 voted in favour, mostly non-independence and one independence party; 14 voted against, including all 13 independence coalition members; and 13 non-independence members abstained.
Meanwhile, in Paris, uncertainty surrounds even the legislative process Lecornu is using. Such change requires constitutional amendment, as Macron sought in his aborted 2024 attempt. But Lecornu sought simple legislative change, relying on a December 2023 judgement by France’s State Council, which, while confirming a change to voter eligibility for New Caledonia required constitutional amendment, allowed legislating an organic law for “strictly indispensable” adjustments.
A further complication is that Lecornu proposed adding two kinds of voter to the electoral body. The first is “natifs”, or long-term local residents inadvertently left off the restricted voter list because the original organic law loosely referred to “children” of eligible voters rather than “descendants”. This excluded around 10,000 voters, both indigenous (around 4,000) and non-indigenous (6,000). The State Council specifically referred to the descendent issue, suggesting its reference to simple legislation may well apply. Lecornu also added “partners” of eligible voters – around 1,800 new voters – more controversially, since some are relative newcomers and proving their status could take time with elections only weeks away.
On 18 and 19 May the Senate and National Assembly endorsed extending the rolls to include “natifs” but not partners. The Constitutional Council must now provide a ruling. The loyalist MP in Paris immediately threatened not to participate in future discussions because the change does not go far enough. Independence Senator Robert Xowie described the legislation as forced change without a local wider political agreement, MP Emmanuel Tjibaou reiterating that the independence coalition would nonetheless participate in local elections.
Meanwhile all parties are preparing for the elections in an already tense local environment, overseen by 2,300 French security personnel, most present since the 2024 turmoil. Renewed bitterness over voter eligibility compounds the prevailing fear and uncertainty, hardly precursors for a peaceful, uncontroversial local election, which will be vital to deliver accepted representatives and calm dialogue about the future.