As the Beijing Auto Show wraps up for another year against the backdrop of a global fossil fuel supply crisis, it’s difficult to come to any conclusion other than your next passenger motor vehicle will most likely be an EV made in China – unless you live in the United States where tariff protection means you’ll be lucky to see one.
Beijing hosts the world’s largest auto show. This year it featured 1,451 vehicles, including 181 world premieres and 71 concept cars, across a record-breaking 380,000 square metres of exhibition space.
So where did all this come from? In 2007, I was serving at the Australian Embassy in Beijing and attended the Beijing Auto Show to see a new car company called BYD, having visited car makers including Chery in Wuhu, Anhui Province and Geely in Ningbo, Zhejiang Province.
All three startups were making internal combustion cars but couldn’t match the build quality or production efficiency of their international competitors.
Bugatti had held the all-time speed record for six years. BYD built its challenger in 18 months.
Having realised that it could not compete with international automakers in internal combustion engine technology, China set out to lead in new energy vehicles. Chinese Communist Party Chairman Xi Jinping outlined the goal during a visit to SAIC Motor (owner of IM, LDV and MG brands) in May 2014. This led to priority state funding and an international talent recruitment program.
During the Covid years, when international executives stayed away from China, the domestic industry made remarkable advances. Now companies such as CATL and BYD dominate global battery supply chains and lead on innovation, with low-cost sodium batteries set to come to market this year.
Four in five EVs sold in Australia are manufactured in China. Tesla exports to Australia from its factory in Shanghai. Mazda is leaning on its partner in China, Changan, to manufacture EVs for the Australian market. Hyundai and Kia are making models in China for Australia too.
So how did China’s lead come about?
The first was politics. In North America, the GM EV1 was leased from 1996 to 1999 and subsequently scrapped. It would be almost two decades before GM produced another EV, the Bolt. Apart from Tesla and a few startups such as Rivian, most North American automakers have scaled back their EV plans under the Trump administration.
In Japan too, despite early success with the Mitsubishi iMiEV and Nissan Leaf, the country has yet to start its EV transition. Toyota lobbied hard against EVs. It still sells lots of cars but the writing is on the wall and most of its EV models are manufactured in China.
European automakers may get a bit of a kick from the Australia–EU FTA and changes to the luxury car tax, but they are being outcompeted by China in their home market, prompting a managed-trade response.