Today, about 28,000 women and children remain in Al-Hol and Al-Roj – around 21,000 Iraqis and Syrians, and 6,000 from roughly 40 other countries, including about 30 Australians. Some 9,000 adolescent boys and men are held separately. These are not temporary facilities: many families have been detained for more than five years. The camps represent both a humanitarian catastrophe and a security tinderbox. Alongside aid workers and traders, we saw ISIS recruiters. A quarter of residents remain committed to the group’s ideology, and two-thirds of children receive no education or protection.
They also constitute an affront to international law through mass arbitrary and indefinite detention. The situation is slowly shifting from detention to displacement, as the UN Refugee Agency increasingly manages them as refugee, not prison, camps. This transition, while legally necessary, carries new security risks: residents now have more mobility, access to external funding, and in some cases, the capacity to move beyond the camps undetected – as the Australians appear to have done.
The six Australians who have returned may well be victims, deceived or coerced into travelling to Syria, and deeply regretful. But others who remain may not be – and may soon be on the move. If not for legal or humanitarian reasons, then for hard security ones, the international community, including Australia, must act to empty the camps.
Our experience supporting the rehabilitation and reintegration of returnees in Iraq, the Western Balkans, and Central Asia shows that these processes are labour, time, and resource intensive – but they work. None of the communities we have supported has seen a return to violence.
Australia’s decision to pause repatriations is intended to manage risk. In reality, it multiplies it. The longer these camps exist, the more they breed instability, radicalisation, and transnational insecurity. The escape of two Australian women and four children should not be seen as an anomaly, but as a warning. Otherwise, today’s “community welfare considerations” risk becoming tomorrow’s global security crisis.