If Joko Widodo’s administration is often described as narrowly focused on economic growth, it is peculiar that it failed to see how these provisions will be detrimental to Indonesia’s development agenda. Child marriage is estimated to cost around 1.7 per cent of Indonesia’s GDP as it conditions young people, especially girls, to cease their education early, which prevents them obtaining the required skills to participate in the job market.
Meanwhile, the annual expenditure for HIV/AIDS in Indonesia has previously reached more than US$100 million, resulting in a large cost to the public purse.
If the provisions in the draft criminal code make no sense from a development standpoint, this conservative turn could instead be seen as efforts to cater to political Islam influences in hopes of attaining national stability. Andreas Harsono of Human Rights Watch claims that Islamists consider the draft criminal code to be the “crown jewel” of their protracted efforts to exert the influence of Sharia law in Indonesia. After years of antagonistic relations with the Islamic populist coalition, the government sought to dismantle the social base of its opposition by disbanding two large Islamic groups, Hizbut Tahrir Indonesia and the Islamic Defenders Front (FPI) for conducting “anti-nationalist activities”. If this political ban amounts to a stick approach, the draft criminal code appears to be the carrot of positive reinforcement, showing that the government is nonetheless willing to cater to their religious socio-cultural aspirations – provided that they don’t themselves pose a political threat.
Other, more repressive clauses in the criminal code include reviving anti-defamation provisions against the president, vice president and government. These were remnants of the colonial lèse-majesté law that sought to protect the sovereignty of the Dutch monarchy and had previously been annulled by the Constitutional Court during Indonesia’s period of democratisation in the 2000s. The code also contains a rubbery provision criminalising public acts of protest deemed to “disturb public order” or other collective acts of protest without a permit from the local police.
This preoccupation with stability implies that Indonesia’s political landscape is moving towards post-populism, a bid to resolve the disastrous social effects brought about by polarisation amongst nationalist and religious factions. At a basic level, the shift signifies that the government is aware that its technocratic agenda can only be achieved by a degree of democratic consolidation among the otherwise perpetually conflicting elites – even if this harmonisation can only be achieved through mechanisms that largely foreclose the possibility of political opposition.
As Indonesia prepares to host the G20 leaders’ summit in November, the draft code will probably be ratified some time before the event to forestall any major protests, with it to be made official afterwards. For Indonesia’s democratic civil alliance, the next two months will be crucial for negotiations to ensure the bill respects principles of human rights, as well as align it to the administration’s own development goals.