A meeting held last month in Pyongyang by North Korea’s sole ruling political party offered the clearest indication yet of the direction the country intends to take over the next five years. The 9th Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea reviewed the leadership’s achievements, set the strategic line, and reaffirmed the central role of nuclear weapons in North Korea’s security doctrine. Of note, it significantly hardened the country’s stance towards South Korea, leaving a narrow opening for talks with the United States and emphasising continued military modernisation alongside economic development.
At the meeting, Kim Jong Un emphasised the non-negotiable status of nuclear weapons in that military modernisation. “The DPRK’s position as a nuclear weapons state has been consolidated to be irreversible and permanent,” he said.
The weekend strikes on Iran by the United States and Israel will likely reinforce Kim’s determination not to bargain away the regime’s nuclear lifeline. They are also deepening distrust of Washington, complicating diplomacy with a US president willing to negotiate yet equally likely to resort to force if talks falter.
According to the final report on the congress, Pyongyang intends to increase both the number of nuclear weapons and the systems capable of delivering them. Kim stated that North Korea has “a long-term plan to strengthen the national nuclear force on an annual basis” and will focus on “increasing the number of nuclear weapons and expanding the means and space for nuclear operation”. This suggests continued investment in diverse delivery platforms, including ground- and submarine-based systems, as well as the development of integrated nuclear command systems.
The report also highlighted plans for advanced weapons systems including intercontinental ballistic missile complexes, AI-enabled uncrewed attack systems, electronic warfare capabilities, and anti-satellite weapons. It emphasised the deployment of tactical missile systems capable of targeting South Korea, including 600mm and 240mm multiple rocket launchers designed to strengthen “the core part of war deterrent”. Taken together, these plans point to a strategy of layered deterrence combining nuclear forces with increasingly sophisticated conventional strike capabilities.
The report characterised North Korea’s stance towards the United States as highly confrontational but strategically conditional. The congress described the United States as the primary source of instability in the international system, criticising its “hegemonic policy” and “America first” approach. At the same time, Kim left open a narrow pathway for improved relations, stating that “if the US respects the present position of our state specified in the Constitution of the DPRK and withdraws its hostile policy towards the DPRK, there is no reason why we cannot get on well with the US.”