Over the past months, I’ve had the opportunity to share and exchange ideas with European politicians, analysts and intellectuals. What struck me was not just the familiar sense of concern, but a deeper undercurrent of introspection, a silent questioning of the trajectory of transatlantic relations and Europe’s place in an increasingly fragmented world. This is not merely about politics; it is about survival in a geopolitical landscape where old certainties are rapidly disappearing.
For decades, Europe found comfort in a predictable transatlantic dynamic: the United States as the indispensable pillar of the alliance, and Europe as the moral compass and stabiliser. But the world order that upheld this balance is under strain. Conversations in European capitals reveal a persistent denial among some leaders, a clinging to the belief that, with the right rhetoric, it might be possible to return to a simpler era, the post-Cold War period.
The post-Cold War world was shaped by globalisation, built on two largely illusory assumptions: that trade would end historical conflicts, exemplified by the European Union’s role in pacifying Franco-German relations after the Second World War, and that different regions of the world would assume distinct roles in globalisation: innovation for the United States, manufacturing for Asia, resource supply for Africa, and so on.
Historically, we have transitioned from a world dominated by an industrial power in the 19th century (Britain), to a world dominated by colonial powers (late 19th century to mid-20th century), then a bipolar world (1945–1989), followed by globalisation (from 1989 to the early 2000s), which, coupled with Deng Xiaoping’s communist-capitalist policies, accelerated China’s rise. Now, we are in a multipolar world, dominated by the United States, Russia, China, the European Union, and soon India, where each power bloc is pragmatically and cynically expanding its sphere of influence.
The EU, however, often responds to this cynicism with a kind of naivety, failing to fully leverage its economic power due to fragmentation and an inability to shift its paradigm.
The alliance between Europe and the United States is indispensable, not out of nostalgia, but out of pragmatism.
Yet, a growing number of voices, both within and outside the mainstream are beginning to recognise an uncomfortable truth: the world no longer tolerates complacency.
The challenge, of course is not just external. While revisionist powers such as Russia and China pose tangible threats, the real crisis lies within the West itself, a crisis of confidence, cohesion, and strategic clarity. Europe’s response has too often been reactive, focused on lamenting American domestic politics rather than addressing the structural forces driving global instability.
Europe has expended its energy on perfecting its internal functioning, marked by heavy bureaucracy and, arguably, by individual member states prioritising national interests over a collective vision while neglecting its external interfaces.
The transatlantic partnership, as vital as it is, cannot thrive if Europe continues to play the role of critic rather than co-architect of a renewed global vision.
And yet, I remain a cautious optimist. Beneath the frustration and rhetoric, an emerging consensus is taking shape: the alliance between Europe and the United States is indispensable, not out of nostalgia, but out of pragmatism. Indeed, in this multipolar world, these two blocs share the most common interests. Europe’s mistake, past and future, would be to assume that these interests are perfectly aligned.
In a world where international relations increasingly resemble a struggle for survival, this partnership is a rare force multiplier, one that neither side can afford to squander.
