Historically, ASEAN has emphasised consensus and collaboration through roadmaps, declarations, formal and informal monitoring bodies and working groups and multi-stakeholder consultation processes. It allows for greater flexibility and inclusivity when the member states share few political, economic or development commonalities, and allows space for innovation and “catching up”, without the weight of premature regulation.
This voluntary and adaptable approach has allowed countries to take individual approaches to AI governance, albeit at a cost. Singapore, for instance, has steadily introduced AI strategies and ethical frameworks, including the AI Verify toolkit, prioritising interoperability with global AI regulatory frameworks. Malaysia has set up the national AI office as a central body for coordinating AI policy and implementation. Indonesia has a national AI strategy and has recently announced plans for a regulation to govern AI utilisation.
And yet as member states take different paths to AI policy and governance, it is unclear whether this was just a temporary necessity. While in recent years ASEAN has grown in influence, it holds limited regional enforcement powers. Technological readiness across the region is patchy – with countries such as Myanmar, Cambodia and Laos remaining in initial stages of AI development and deployment. This voluntary, principles-based AI governance approach might be a stopgap, giving member states time to build capacity and innovate. But it risks fragmentation as member states adopt their own paths, influenced by external regimes such as those of the European Union and the United States, with China adding yet another layer of influence through its expanding role in the region’s digital infrastructure.
From here on, three futures are possible: consolidation, where ASEAN’s soft principles mature into common governance norms; fragmentation, where member states align with EU, US, or Chinese models; and hybridisation, where ASEAN’s framework mixes with external approaches.
Could it consolidate into a meaningful regional model?
With a soft governance approach, ASEAN can give innovators the space to experiment, while also keeping ethics and fairness on the agenda. It will allow all of the region’s diverse economies to participate, with an emphasis on building capacity, while remaining a strong, cohesive bloc.
However, without follow-through, it could slip into insignificance.
ASEAN would need these voluntary principles to translate into practice, beginning first with a regional review mechanism to ensure consistent implementation across the member states. Member states would need to set up national AI offices to ensure domestic uptake, with a mix of technical support and funding to enhance capacity and bring all states to par. Above all, for ASEAN’s approach to “stick”, it will need interoperability with global standards - from the EU’s risk-based AI Act and the US NIST framework to guidelines such as the OECD AI Principles and ISO technical standards. Approximately 97% of all businesses in ASEAN are micro, small and medium enterprises, and they contribute nearly 45% of the region’s GDP. For them, interoperability would be a crucial enabler to cross-border trade and investment.
Where ASEAN goes with this experiment is crucial – emerging regions such as the Gulf Cooperation Council and the African Union are watching closely. It could prove that a flexible, soft-governance approach that balances innovation and trust could work in the right conditions, or it could become a cautionary tale of what not to do.