12 Jan 2023
The hard road to justice for Russian war crimes
Prosecution of war crimes in Ukraine are crucial to maintain international law and the peace and security it promotes.
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23 Dec 2022
How to Interpret 2022: Russia invades Ukraine
Vladimir Putin seemed convinced Kyiv would fall in days. We look back at ten months of war. -
22 Dec 2022
The Interpreter 2022: Your most-read articles
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine dominated the year. But readers also wanted to know all about Southeast Asia’s elections. -
20 Dec 2022
Zelenskyy: when the “Lion of Kyiv” addressed the Lowy Institute
The anatomy of an interview with a wartime president. -
19 Dec 2022
Christmas in Ukraine: hope, defiance, determination
Celebrating under a shadow cast by war. -
13 Dec 2022
2022: A global turning point
Looking at trends and contours that have coalesced this year to make international politics more contested and unpredictable. -
21 Nov 2022
Ukraine: No end in sight
A ceasefire proposal would likely be rejected as a Russian ploy, yet with winter closing, neither side can expect let up. -
9 Nov 2022
Countdown to Asia’s summit season
Conflict in Myanmar and Ukraine against a backdrop of US‑China tension – a crowded agenda will unfold in coming weeks. -
19 Oct 2022
The banality of Putin’s evil
Putin is driven by the imperatives of regime security – preserving his kleptocratic rule – not national security. -
17 Oct 2022
Could China save the world?
It is difficult to imagine Xi Jinping brokering peace in Ukraine, but if China wants to be respected, this is a chance. -
12 Oct 2022
If Russia breaks the nuclear taboo
Would the use of a lower yield atomic weapon really prompt the same catastrophic logic of escalation? -
25 Sep 2022
Ukraine conflict: turning point?
Putin’s new escalatory threats and the near-existential battle for Russia and its president. -
20 Sep 2022
The war in Ukraine is pushing Central Asia away from Russia
Russia’s loss has been China’s gain. -
1 Sep 2022
A new solidarity? Olaf Scholz on the future of Europe
Acknowledging the continent’s centre is “moving eastwards” marked the German chancellor’s address as visionary, of sorts. -
22 Aug 2022
Six months of war in Ukraine: Europe’s life and fate
Emotions have inevitably subsided but support for Ukraine remains resolute – enough to dismay Putin-loving populists. -
11 Aug 2022
India and Russia: friends for a reason, friends for a season
Delhi plays a delicate balancing act between self-interest and historical friendship. And it’s all about oil and gas. -
26 Jul 2022
Winter is coming: staying the course on Ukraine
Standing firm against Russia won’t be easy for Western governments faced with Putin’s chokehold on European gas. -
30 Jun 2022
War fatigue in the West
The democratic world passed the compassion test for Ukraine. Now it faces the real challenge. -
28 Jun 2022
How Turkey’s position on Ukraine is further destabilising Syria
Erdoğan wants sanctions relief and is forcing NATO leaders into making an uncomfortable choice. -
9 Jun 2022
Thailand seeking to profit from a global food crisis
The war in Ukraine has highlighted weaknesses in Thailand’s policymaking and prompted cartel behaviour … again. -
7 Jun 2022
Is Vladimir Putin sick?
What rumours about the Russian president’s health reveal about the Kremlin – and the rest of us. -
3 Jun 2022
Global food threats: a chicken and egg story
“Temporary disruptions” carry a long term risk. But unwinding international supply chains could send farmers backward. -
30 May 2022
War in Ukraine: Gloomy prospects
What both sides might eventually have to settle for to end the fighting – and when – is far from clear. -
27 May 2022
Ukraine: The view from Warsaw
More than offering neighbourly support, Poland wants to ensure Russia suffers a strategic defeat. -
17 May 2022
No Gas: Lessons from Poland and Bulgaria for the Quad
The risk of disrupted energy supplies is not only in Europe but a danger in the Indo-Pacific, too. -
9 May 2022
Turkey’s leverage over Russia – in Syria and beyond
Ankara and Moscow are in an unusual power play where the Kremlin turns a blind eye to actions that aid its adversaries. -
3 May 2022
European neutrality is dying out
Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine has transformed future security policy arrangements to Russia’s detriment. -
2 May 2022
Transnistria: The next front of the Ukraine war
Moscow is stirring tensions in a separatist region in neighbouring Moldova, but its moves may backfire. -
29 Apr 2022
Putting Putin on trial to enforce a price for the powerful
Building a just international order must go beyond the interest of a few to foster a true test of global accountability. -
22 Apr 2022
Even Putin is not beyond the law
International and domestic justice systems are working in the background to bring accountability in the war on Ukraine. -
22 Apr 2022
India-Russia: A friend in need
New Delhi’s reluctance to speak out on Ukraine is also influenced by own ambition in the disputed Kashmir region. -
21 Apr 2022
Economic diplomacy: After Ukraine, the IMF ponders the future
A decoupling world will still need an old-style cooperative rescue service to repair the economic minefields. -
21 Apr 2022
Rallying around the flag: Domestic support for Putin is holding up
Russians doubt what they are told about the Ukraine conflict yet their view is still shaped by relentless propaganda. -
20 Apr 2022
Russia-Ukraine: It always comes down to food
War in eastern Europe is devastating the supply of staple goods to distant regions that can least afford it. -
20 Apr 2022
The duty to prevent genocide in Ukraine
A serious risk of Russia committing genocide imposes legal obligations for states to do what they can to stop it. -
19 Apr 2022
In Putin’s war, everybody loses
The war may freeze in place, but the future peace will not be like the old peace before Russia invaded. -
14 Apr 2022
Bucha: Capturing the horror
The story of a Russian massacre in the Ukraine town needed to be told. And like all images, context is important. -
7 Apr 2022
Turkey plays the dance of the go-betweens in Ukraine war
Ankara is perfectly placed to mediate between Kyiv and Moscow, and recoup some credibility with NATO at the same time. -
1 Apr 2022
Ukraine: This isn’t the information war you were looking for
But watch a change in tempo for cyber operations as the on-the-ground military situation trends towards stalemate. -
31 Mar 2022
War represents a failure of diplomacy. It pays to read past page one.
I hope Ukraine’s ambassador enjoyed reading my book in the Security Council. Here’s the message I wanted to send. -
28 Mar 2022
Time and troops in finite supply for Russia’s army in Ukraine
Forced to call in conscripts, reservists and foreign fighters, Putin’s miscalculation is beginning to bite. -
24 Mar 2022
Economic diplomacy: Cryptocurrency (quietly) joins a new world order
From Bitcoin to the greenback, beyond Ukraine a battle is also underway in global finance. -
23 Mar 2022
Pacific nations send a message on Ukraine – and great power rivalries
Pacific states are watching Ukraine because their sovereignty and territorial integrity can also easily be violated. -
23 Mar 2022
War in Ukraine: How this might end
There are many ways Putin’s invasion could pan out. All of them ultimately involve Ukraine accepting concessions. -
22 Mar 2022
Zelensky’s direct plea to America
For Congress to play an activist role in managing the US response to a hot war would break with modern precedent. -
22 Mar 2022
China’s women “hold up half the sky”
Entrenched gender inequality and the heavy hand of censors can no longer silence female voices in China. -
21 Mar 2022
The Gulf’s diversification dilemma
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine puts Saudi Arabia and the UAE in an awkward spot in relations with the United States. -
18 Mar 2022
Scenarios for the war in Ukraine
Unexpected resistance, disaffected troops and broken supply chains present a Catch-22 for Putin on the road to Kyiv. -
18 Mar 2022
The end of Antarctic exceptionalism?
Plunging Russia into the diplomatic deep freeze has implications far beyond Europe on cooperation over global commons. -
17 Mar 2022
Washington rediscovers “nuclear responsibility” in the Ukraine crisis
Australian scholar Hedley Bull saw special obligations for great powers to avoid the worst possible catastrophe.