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  • 7 Apr 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    A new theory of victory: How Ukraine can fortify and prosper in the age of Trump

    Mark Edele
    A democratic Ukraine in the current de facto borders, with a protected frontline and secure skies, is a better option than a continuing war of attrition.
  • 17 Mar 2025
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Dispatch from Ukraine: The adaptation battle intensifies

    Mick Ryan
    Drone warfare over Ukraine offers a powerful demonstration of the need for modern militaries to adapt quickly.
  • 10 Mar 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Pyongyang–Moscow ties will outlive the Ukraine conflict

    Gabriela Bernal
    The relationship between Russia and North Korea will be impacted by Washington's stance on Ukraine, but the long-term alliance will remain strong.
  • 4 Mar 2025
    • Australia
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Australian peacekeepers in Ukraine?

    Mick Ryan
    Australian soldiers are tough, well equipped, well trained and well led. But this would be a mission like no other.
  • 1 Mar 2025
    • Afghanistan War
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Trump strong-arms Zelenskyy: Afghans have seen these tactics before

    Shadi Khan Saif
    US talks with the Taliban during Trump 1.0 undercut the nascent Afghan democracy in favour of a “deal”.
  • 1 Mar 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Trump, Russia and Ukraine: Descent into lawlessness

    Jon Richardson
    The US President has joined the standover merchants.
  • 1 Mar 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    The Oval Office ambush

    Mick Ryan
    There is a deep-seated hostility from Trump and Vance towards Zelenskyy that defies short term fixes – so the test of courage falls to other Western leaders.
  • 25 Feb 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Did we learn anything from the war in Ukraine?

    Olena Guseinova
    With realpolitik back on the menu, there are serious implications for the Indo-Pacific.
  • 21 Feb 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Will shock therapy spur a new realpolitik in Europe?

    Ian Hill
    The ructions in the Western alliance this past week will advance Moscow’s long-term security objectives
  • 19 Feb 2025
    • Australia in the World
    • Australia's Defence Challenges
    • Australian Defence Force
    • Australian Defence Intelligence and Security
    • Defence & Security
    • Intelligence and security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Political lessons for Australia from the war in Ukraine

    Mick Ryan
    The concept of sovereign resilience must be implemented from the top of our nation’s political leadership.
  • 18 Feb 2025
    • Europe
    • Germany
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    The miseries of Germany’s navel-gazing

    Marcus Colla
    With an election on the horizon, the grim situation at home has transmuted foreign policy issues into domestic ones.
  • 29 Jan 2025
    • Australia
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law
    • War Crimes

    POW law and the plight of Australian Oscar Jenkins in Russia

    Donald R Rothwell
    The intentional killing of prisoners of war is a war crime that can be prosecuted under Australian law.
  • 24 Jan 2025
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Military trends to watch in 2025

    Mick Ryan
    The year ahead will be at least as uncertain, violent and chaotic as 2024. Here are five key trends to watch in 2025.
  • 7 Jan 2025
    • North Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    The message North Korea sends by rotating its troops in Russia

    Olena Guseinova
    Deeper military ties between these partners in arms reflect a stronger strategic alignment than the transactional relationship first anticipated.
  • 13 Dec 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Ignoring the real biowarfare threat

    David Heslop , Joel Keep
    The sudden renovation at an old Soviet biological weapons site needs to be better explained.
  • 22 Nov 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Russia escalates, strikes Ukraine with a new missile, warns West

    Sam Roggeveen
    Putin wants to target Europe’s commitment to support Ukraine.
  • 21 Nov 2024
    • North Korea
    • Intelligence and security
    • Iran's Nuclear Program
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Iran
    • Israel

    Cat-astrophe! What happens when dirty-minded North Koreans meet Iranian nuclear purrfidy

    Daniel Flitton
    I spy an invisible cat. Two, in fact.
  • 21 Nov 2024
    • China
    • North Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Will North Korea annoy China, having sent troops to fight alongside Russia?

    Khang Vu
    Don’t bet on it.
  • 18 Nov 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    An early winter in Kyiv?

    Mateo Szlapek-Sewillo
    Unpicking the implications of Trump’s election win on the war in Ukraine.
  • 6 Nov 2024
    • Europe
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Moldova and Georgia serve as geopolitical bellwethers

    Adam Simpson
    With the two countries on diverging paths after recent elections, the choice appears to be between Russia and the West.
  • 5 Nov 2024
    • Nuclear Non-Proliferation, Arms Control and Disarmament
    • Nuclear Weapons
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    What’s new in Russia’s latest nuclear statement?

    Sitara Noor
    Vladimir Putin has rattled his sabre once again in the face of US and NATO deliberations on Ukraine’s use of weapons.
  • 17 Oct 2024
    • North Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    North Korean troops in Russia: The first test of the Russia-North Korea alliance

    Khang Vu
    Should the deployment be confirmed, history offers three ways to gauge the cohesion of Pyongyang’s ties to Moscow.
  • 17 Oct 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    A shared struggle: Ukrainians and their volunteer supporters on the front lines

    Gordon Weiss
    An unyielding will in the face of invasion has inspired heroes at home and from afar.
  • 8 Oct 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Middle East Conflict
    • Ukraine
    • Global Issues
    • Iran
    • Israel

    When the friendly skies above go dark, rockets light up

    Kazimier Lim
    How airspace closures signal the geopolitical strategies unfolding in the Middle East.
  • 7 Oct 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • The Biden Presidency
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Kamala Harris and Ukraine: Is the US truly committed to Ukrainian victory?

    Mick Ryan
    The only nation with a viable theory of victory is Russia. Harris must decide if the US will change that equation.
  • 3 Oct 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • The Trump Presidency
    • United States
    • US Elections

    Trump may surprise us on the Ukraine war

    Mick Ryan
    If Donald Trump can’t achieve a quick solution in Ukraine, he could well turn on Putin and increase US support to Ukraine.
  • 24 Sep 2024
    • China
    • North Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    North Korea and its middle power friends

    Gabriela Bernal
    The latest Asia Power Index has Pyongyang pegged as Moscow’s best buddy…for now.
  • 6 Sep 2024
    • Australia
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law
    • Transnational Challenges

    Russian sanctions: Why has Australia stayed quiet on reparations?

    Anton Moiseienko
    With strong rule of law credentials and expertise, Canberra should use its advantage in responses to war.
  • 3 Sep 2024
    • China
    • Hong Kong
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law

    Hong Kong keeps Russia’s dark fleet afloat

    Selwyn Parker
    Operating under flags of convenience, hundreds of vessels are evading the sanctions meant to stifle movement.
  • 21 Aug 2024
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Surprise and modern war

    Mick Ryan
    The Kursk offensive is a reminder of the enduring power of surprise. Prudence suggests that Australia needs be prepared.
  • 16 Aug 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Explaining Ukraine’s hopes with a bold attack in Kursk – and how it might backfire, badly

    Ian Hill
    In a calculated gamble, the purpose appears as much political as military: a positive shift to the narrative, directed at multiple audiences.
  • 2 Aug 2024
    • Australia
    • Defence & Security
    • Ukraine

    What Australia can learn from Ukraine's long-range strike weapons

    Mick Ryan
    Ukraine now has multiple options for strike operations at an affordable cost. This is exactly what the Australian Defence Force needs.
  • 24 Jul 2024
    • Europe
    • European Union
    • Ukraine
    • United Kingdom

    Good vibes only: Can Starmer make the European Political Community work?

    Elizabeth Ames
    Europe’s newest strategic forum has the chance to rally regional leaders around common defence and security challenges.
  • 22 Jul 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • International law

    The deadly consequences of misclassifying foreign fighters in Ukraine

    Shannon Bosch
    Russia calls them mercenaries to deny international legal protections. Accountability is essential.
  • 2 Jul 2024
    • Japan
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United States

    Putin goes to Pyongyang: Should we be worried?

    Jane Hardy
    The renewed marriage of convenience between Russia and North Korea has global implications.
  • 2 Jul 2024
    • North Korea
    • France
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Human rights
    • Iran
    • Israel

    Pariah states and the Olympic Games

    Gabriela Bernal
    With the Paris Games only weeks away, the controversy around athletes from “rogue” countries is set to intensify.
  • 28 Jun 2024
    • China
    • North Korea
    • South Korea
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Putin in Asia: Setting a cat among the pigeons

    Ian Hill
    Ever a pragmatist, the Russian leader’s calculated alignments are purely based on needs and interests.
  • 6 Jun 2024
    • China
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Zelenskyy put a spotlight on China’s Ukraine war problem: Defend Ukraine’s sovereignty, or Russian security?

    Nicholas Khoo
    Even a powerful state must make trade-offs in its foreign policy.
  • 17 May 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Human rights

    Time to recognise the Crimean Tatar genocide

    Jon Richardson
    Acknowledging the crimes in the 1940s would underline the attachment to Ukraine and rebuff changing borders by force.
  • 10 May 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United Kingdom

    Ukraine gets the green light for strikes in Russia – it was long overdue

    Tennyson Dearing
    But nor does this mean the end of Western hesitancy in its support for Ukraine.
  • 10 May 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    All wars end. But how will the one in Ukraine?

    Gordon Weiss
    An obsession with deterrence of Russian aggression treats Ukraine as a by-product rather than the main game.
  • 23 Apr 2024
    • Central Asia
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Trade

    The Kyrgyzstan route facilitating Russia’s invasion of Ukraine

    Joseph Webster
    Russia’s military aims in Ukraine have been furthered by its trade with the Central Asian nation.
  • 15 Apr 2024
    • Caucasus
    • European Union
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • United Kingdom

    Russia conundrum in the Caucasus and beyond

    Nikola Mikovic
    Once a de facto leader in the post-Soviet space, Moscow is now falling outside the friend zone in its own backyard.
  • 3 Apr 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Why Russia has only now declared war on Ukraine

    Tarik Solmaz
    A game of semantic camouflage allows the Kremlin to reposition itself onto a war footing.
  • 26 Mar 2024
    • Islamic State
    • Terrorism
    • Russia
    • Ukraine
    • Middle East
    • Syria

    Moscow attacks: Why Putin was quick to blame Ukraine

    Munira Mustaffa
    The Kremlin is covering its own mistakes in the bid to deflect attention.
  • 25 Mar 2024
    • Japan
    • Ukraine

    The message Japan sends by backing Ukraine

    Marin Ekstrom , Wilder Alejandro Sánchez
    An evolving foreign and defence policy is on display.
  • 4 Mar 2024
    • Nuclear Weapons
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Why is Putin again threatening a nuclear war?

    Alexander Clackson
    And just as importantly, is the West willing to call his bluff?
  • 26 Feb 2024
    • India
    • Ukraine
    • Identities

    You name it! Are country name changes necessary?

    Stéphanie Fillion
    The reasons behind rebranding a nation are myriad – from overt nationalism to anti-colonialism and everything in between.
  • 16 Feb 2024
    • Australian Navy
    • Defence & Security
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    The right lessons for Australia’s future warships

    Sam Roggeveen
    The war in Ukraine appears to be a revolution in naval warfare. Australia’s upcoming Surface Fleet Review must reflect on the consequences.
  • 16 Feb 2024
    • Russia
    • Ukraine

    Putin believes that time is on Russia’s side – and, sadly, he has a point

    Ian Hill
    Ukraine will be up against it maintaining Western support this year.  
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