A component for a weapon in El Obeid, Sudan where drone attacks have featured prominently in the conflict (Faiz Abubakr/Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)
Drones are breaking the deal that once kept aid workers safe
A record number of aid workers are now being killed or hurt by drones, and old NGO security practice cannot keep up.
Newsletters
Subscribe to The Informer for monthly expert analysis, and to Events for advance notice of visiting world leaders and distinguished guests.
You may unsubscribe from Lowy Institute newsletters at any time. For information on our privacy practices and how to unsubscribe, see our Privacy Policy.
|Drones are breaking the deal that once kept aid workers safe
Drones are breaking the deal that once kept aid workers safe
Conflict has always and will always evolve and what the world sees now is a return to total war. The destruction of civilian (Opens in new window)infrastructure (Opens in new window) is treated as a legitimate pathway to victory in battlefields from Ukraine to Iran, Gaza and Sudan, with the aim to achieve psychological and political attrition.
With the post-Cold War consensus well and truly in retreat, the humanitarian principles NGOs work under no longer read as universal. NGOs may not be seen as neutral but rather as aligned with the cause of those foreign states funding the humanitarian programming. This can lead to the NGO’s presence being perceived as a political threat by the host authorities. Countries that provide humanitarian funding must be more curious regarding this dynamic.
The democratisation of violence is another change in the nature of conflict. The barriers to entry, to use the economic term, are lower than ever before to obtain and deploy sophisticated equipment, whether that is in the form of drones (Opens in new window), cyber warfare (Opens in new window) or industrial scale mis/disinformation (Opens in new window). Suddenly NGOs have a whole new range of armed actors warranting attention and engagement, stretching resources limited by global aid funding cuts.
Even if you identify the drone behind an attack on aid workers, you do not confidently know who is responsible
Drones are a cheap weapon on the battlefield and drone incidents affecting humanitarian operations increased by 150% in 2025 (Opens in new window), contributing to the deaths of at least 159 aid workers.
Drones challenge some of the fundamental approaches NGOs have used for decades to manage security risk.
Traditionally, if an NGO vehicle is shot at, or an aid distribution site is attacked, the NGO goes back to the armed group and asks what the problem was – “We thought we had an agreement”. The NGO would clarify any misunderstanding and find a new way of working, or make an informed decision that operations are no longer feasible. NGOs can even use an element of deterrence – if pushed, they may tell the community that this armed group’s actions are preventing the delivery of aid, putting the onus back on the armed group. This is a simplified summary of the sophisticated acceptance-based approach NGOs apply to risk management.
Drones undermine that approach, largely because of the anonymity they offer. This is off-the-shelf, dual-use technology that any number of actors can deploy. Even at military grade, long-endurance platforms such as the Chinese Wing Loong or the Turkish Bayraktar are operated by a range of actors (Opens in new window).
So even if you identify the drone behind an attack on aid workers, you don’t confidently know who is responsible. Was it the government or opposition forces? Who do you engage with to seek accountability? Did the assailant want to stop you delivering food aid to a particular community or was it mistaken identity?
Misinformation and disinformation from both sides then compound the ambiguity.
The threats to aid workers are not static. Generational improvements to drone technology can be measured in months. AI looms large as an accelerator of many capabilities.
Even at peak funding, no NGO could mitigate and adapt sufficiently quickly to the coalescing risks in isolation. The humanitarian sector has to be more coordinated to rise to the challenge. That means more shared risk management infrastructure and services, and more spaces for sustained collaboration.
While much work is already underway, it will require global political muscle to truly advance the system, and many are looking to the Australian-initiated Group of Friends for the Protection of Humanitarian Personnel (Opens in new window) to see whether the 132 state signatories can be enablers of this collective approach, and deliver on the potential of their unique political alignment.
It is no easy assignment given the trajectory of the world, but success means maintaining the access of those who contribute to the conditions for a stable and prosperous world.