The independent review of Australia’s intelligence agencies, publicly released last month, found them to be highly capable and performing well as a community. It did, however, recommend better integration of intelligence and policy-making in an era of heightened risk and contest.
Managing what can be called the intelligence-policy interface is not a new challenge for government. But, as the review notes, the areas are expanding where intelligence is needed in support of policy. Economic decisions with a national security dimension are highlighted where “gaps in processes to support government are the greatest.” The review recommends a system re-design for the interface between intelligence support and the Treasury department.
The review occurred before Donald Trump was returned as US President. The past few months have already seen significant shifts for intelligence agencies. Technology impacts are accelerating. Increasing uncertainty in international trade only underscores the recommendations made in the review.
In my book, Big Data, Emerging Technologies and Intelligence Production: National Security Disrupted, I devoted a discussion to the often-underappreciated importance of the intelligence-policy interface. “The relationship between intelligence producers and users – those that make political calculations about national security – is critical and interconnected,” was my conclusion. Incredible technology, focusing on the right threats, providing insightful or possibly ground-breaking intelligence are worth little if the decisionmaker doesn’t listen or doesn’t use the advice.
So, with this in mind, the emphasis on the policy-intelligence interface may come to be seen as one of the review’s most consequential dimensions. The review also recommends that the Office of National Intelligence and the Australian Security Intelligence Organisation provide dedicated in-person briefings to the full cabinet on shifts in Australia’s security environment with implications for the operation of government, such as espionage and foreign interference. It suggests increasing support to ministers in a timelier fashion and outside of Canberra, as well as regular exercises between intelligence and policy agencies to test and improve preparedness for regional crises or conflicts.
Higher levels of intelligence literacy among elected officials are important – to understand the structure and foundational principles of the National Intelligence Community (NIC) and how it can support statecraft. This, I’ve argued, should involve increasing education for political leaders. There are limited requirements for elected officials to access, consider – and weigh – intelligence advice.