It was thus a renewed trauma for the Crimean Tatars when Russia invaded overnight in February 2014 and annexed the region three weeks after a sham referendum. The Crimean Tatars vehemently opposed the takeover. Their leaders and activists have since been imprisoned or forced out, some killed or disappeared. Crimean Tatar media were closed. Human rights groups estimate there are more than 150 political prisoners in Crimea. Russia banned the Mejlis, defying a ruling of the International Court of Justice.
Despite Kremlin narratives that Crimea rightfully belongs to Russia, the Russian Federation did not make any claim on the peninsula prior to the 2014 invasion. President Vladimir Putin himself ratified in 2004 a treaty delineating the borders between Russia and Ukraine.
The Russian Empire originally annexed Crimea in 1783. At that time there were hardly any Russians in Crimea. Dispossession, discrimination and despair under Russian rule led large numbers to leave over the next century, while many Russians and Ukrainians settled there.
Civil War, collectivisation and Stalin’s purges took a further toll in the 20th century. Even so, it has been estimated that by 2014, 90 per cent of Russian and Slavic residents of Crimea were from families who had only settled there after the 1944 deportations.
In Ukraine’s 1991 referendum on independence from the Soviet Union, Crimeans voted in favour by a majority of 57 to 43 per cent. Opinion polls in the years prior to 2014 showed little change to that underwhelming level of support for joining Russia.
So claims justifying Crimea’s annexation by force are not only flimsy, but rest on the blood and tears of an indigenous people. And all territorial conquest and annexation has been beyond the pale since 1945. The international community has rejected – sooner or later – such land grabs in Kuwait, Western Sahara and East Timor.
We occasionally hear arguments that Ukraine should be prepared to cede territory to Russia to end the war, and that Crimea is an obvious candidate. But on that principle, Israel could be allowed to swallow up the West Bank and wipe out Palestinian culture just as surely as Russia is repressing the Crimean Tatars and Ukrainians in the large swathes of territory it occupies.
When the law of the jungle rules, the final deterrent becomes nuclear weapons. Everyone might as well get some. Indeed, Ukraine now rues handing over ex-Soviet nuclear weapons under its control to Russia in 1994 in return for solemn security assurances in the Budapest Memorandum. Moreover, for Ukraine, continued Russian control of Crimea would remain a dagger pointed at the country’s underbelly – a springboard for renewed assault or blockade.