African governments are not choosing between partners; they are engaging all of them. China, the United States, European and Gulf states, Turkey, and Russia all operate in Africa’s security space.
Africa-wide solidarity is frequently overstated, as endemic weaknesses in Africa’s Peace and Security Architecture demonstrate. Platforms like the Forum on China–Africa Cooperation present opportunities for unity, but decision-making remains largely bilateral. Pressuring African states to “choose sides” is likely to increase insecurity, not reduce it.
The contrast between China’s bundled approach and Western fragmentation is increasingly clear. America’s recent shift from United States Agency for International Development (USAID) programming to bilateral health pacts illustrates the problem: while ostensibly valuable, these agreements are siloed, heavily conditioned, and vulnerable to American domestic politics.
By comparison, China offers integrated support packages, including infrastructure, training, security cooperation, and development. These deals are invariably more coherent, despite limited transparency.
This helps explain why China is not widely viewed in Africa as malevolent. Chinese engagement is multifaceted, and despite risks from opaque contracts, power asymmetries, and limited accountability, many Africans see the relationship as offering opportunity. As African publics grow younger and more sceptical of a liberal democratic mirage, and its ability to address economic exclusion and poverty, China’s development trajectory offers a faster track out of hardship.
This pragmatism should not be misread as acquiescence. African agency is real but constrained by realpolitik and limited capacity. Sovereignty is eroded through both Chinese opacity and Western inconsistencies and failures to align with local realities – compounded by power asymmetries in US transactional diplomacy. As conflict in Africa mutates, shaped by extraction, climate stress, and transnational crime, the need for tailored, accountable security partnerships will grow.
The question is how African states can secure the best options available. Considering China a security liability for Africa obscures the harder truth: in a power-driven world, Africa is navigating a crowded marketplace in a context of burgeoning needs. Sovereignty depends less on who shows up and more on the terms agreed and who sets them.