During a joint press conference with Indonesia’s Prabowo Subianto in Sydney on Wednesday, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the current agreement also obliged parties “to consult and consider what measures may be taken either individually or jointly” if one or both were threatened. That language is shared in other Australian agreements with the United States (known as the ANZUS Treaty), with Papua New Guinea (the Pukpuk Treaty), and in the Five Power Defence Arrangements signed with the United Kingdom, New Zealand, Singapore, and Malaysia. In contrast, this is Indonesia’s first such security agreement since the AMS deal with Australia. These consultations do not oblige one party to automatically come to the military assistance of the other.
How the treaty will be operationalised in future will depend on the leaders at the time and the prevailing security environment. For instance, the ANZUS Treaty only commits Australia and the United States to consultations; however, it was invoked by then prime minister John Howard after the 9/11 attacks, which was a key reason for Australia’s participation in US-led, UN-mandated military operations against the Taliban in Afghanistan. Future leaders might take a maximalist or minimalist interpretation, depending on the circumstances and perceived alliance obligations. These treaties are drafted carefully to account for a range of contingencies and give each side an “out” if needed, making them more acceptable to the leaders in question and to domestic audiences. One could easily imagine a situation in which Jakarta would be reluctant to join military operations with Canberra against Beijing.
Importantly, the agreement deepens trust and predictability between two neighbours that don’t always see eye to eye – a necessary step if both are to manage crises and competition in an increasingly uncertain region. In addition to these consultations, there also appears to be an intent to expand cooperation between security bodies, including the military, police, and border forces, as part of “mutually beneficial security activities”.
Developing this shared picture helps signal Australia’s posture as firmly embedded within the region, rather than being seen as an extension of a “great and powerful friend”. As Foreign Minister Penny Wong affirmed during an ABC News interview on the same day as the announcement, “we have to anchor our security in our region through a network or web of relationships” with neighbouring states. This will enable Jakarta and Canberra to have frank conversations about sensitive issues such as potential military operations concerning archipelagic waters and regional airspace.
Southeast Asian states – especially Malaysia, the Philippines, and Singapore – would likely view positively a key security partner further investing in a fellow ASEAN member and in the region.